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What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

icon for What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
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What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

$1.0T–$1.25T 33%

$1.25T–$1.5T 25.4%

$1.5T–$1.75T 12.5%

$1.75T–$2.0T 12%

Polymarket

$13,223 Vol.

$1.0T–$1.25T 33%

$1.25T–$1.5T 25.4%

$1.5T–$1.75T 12.5%

$1.75T–$2.0T 12%

Polymarket

$13,223 Vol.

<$1T

$1,841 Vol.

10%

$1.0T–$1.25T

$1,833 Vol.

33%

$1.25T–$1.5T

$2,059 Vol.

25%

$1.5T–$1.75T

$849 Vol.

13%

$1.75T–$2.0T

$2,562 Vol.

12%

$2.0T–$2.25T

$1,123 Vol.

2%

$2.25T–$2.5T

$860 Vol.

6%

$2.5T+

$2,097 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**OpenAI's latest $852 billion post-money private valuation after its March 2026 $122 billion round anchors trader expectations, with the $1.0T–$1.25T band leading at 32.5% implied probability.** Revenue has scaled to roughly $25 billion annualized run-rate on $2 billion monthly figures, supported by enterprise contributions exceeding 40% and on track for consumer parity by year-end, yet growth has flattened since early 2026 amid 34x ARR multiples. Persistent heavy losses—projected near $14 billion non-GAAP for 2026 on infrastructure and compute costs—along with the shift toward a potential 2027 IPO after the confidential S-1 filing introduce uncertainty around achievable public multiples. Competitive dynamics from rivals like Anthropic and broader AI capex trends further shape the tight contest between the top two valuation buckets.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,223
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**OpenAI's latest $852 billion post-money private valuation after its March 2026 $122 billion round anchors trader expectations, with the $1.0T–$1.25T band leading at 32.5% implied probability.** Revenue has scaled to roughly $25 billion annualized run-rate on $2 billion monthly figures, supported by enterprise contributions exceeding 40% and on track for consumer parity by year-end, yet growth has flattened since early 2026 amid 34x ARR multiples. Persistent heavy losses—projected near $14 billion non-GAAP for 2026 on infrastructure and compute costs—along with the shift toward a potential 2027 IPO after the confidential S-1 filing introduce uncertainty around achievable public multiples. Competitive dynamics from rivals like Anthropic and broader AI capex trends further shape the tight contest between the top two valuation buckets.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,223
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 8 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "$1.0T–$1.25T" sa 33%, sinusundan ng "$1.25T–$1.5T" sa 25%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 33¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 33% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?" ay naka-generate ng $13.2K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong May 21, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?," i-browse ang 8 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?" ay "$1.0T–$1.25T" sa 33%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 33% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "$1.25T–$1.5T" sa 25%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.