OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent signals of a possible 2027 debut have left IPO raise size fluid, with market-implied odds showing a tight contest between a modest offering and an outsized one. The company’s March 2026 $122 billion private round at an $852 billion valuation reduced near-term capital needs while supporting ambitions for a $1 trillion-plus public valuation, yet strong monthly revenue of roughly $2 billion has not translated into profitability. Traders appear to weigh the optionality of a smaller primary raise—consistent with many large tech IPOs—against the potential for a landmark $60–100 billion+ deal if OpenAI accelerates to capture peak AI sentiment. Upcoming catalysts include any update on banker meetings or revised timing that could clarify share count and primary versus secondary components.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 33.5%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 18.9%
$100B+ 17%
<$30B
33%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
19%
$90B–$100B
5%
$100B+
30%
<$30B 33.5%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 18.9%
$100B+ 17%
<$30B
33%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
19%
$90B–$100B
5%
$100B+
30%
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent signals of a possible 2027 debut have left IPO raise size fluid, with market-implied odds showing a tight contest between a modest offering and an outsized one. The company’s March 2026 $122 billion private round at an $852 billion valuation reduced near-term capital needs while supporting ambitions for a $1 trillion-plus public valuation, yet strong monthly revenue of roughly $2 billion has not translated into profitability. Traders appear to weigh the optionality of a smaller primary raise—consistent with many large tech IPOs—against the potential for a landmark $60–100 billion+ deal if OpenAI accelerates to capture peak AI sentiment. Upcoming catalysts include any update on banker meetings or revised timing that could clarify share count and primary versus secondary components.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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