Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a cautious Federal Reserve stance after March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from 2.4%—fueled by energy price spikes amid Middle East tensions, alongside robust nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs and unemployment dipping to 4.3%. The FOMC held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% on March 17-18, with Chair Powell noting slower inflation progress and flexibility to monitor geopolitical impacts. CME FedWatch implies near-99% odds of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, prioritizing data-dependent policy amid resilient labor markets and sticky prices. Watch May 12 CPI release and June FOMC for potential shifts in rate cut expectations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$1,405,585 Vol.
Pulong ng Abril
1%
Pagpupulong ng Hunyo
10%
Pagpupulong ng Hulyo
22%
Pagpupulong ng Setyembre
54%
Pagpupulong sa Oktubre
63%
Pagpupulong sa Disyembre
68%
$1,405,585 Vol.
Pulong ng Abril
1%
Pagpupulong ng Hunyo
10%
Pagpupulong ng Hulyo
22%
Pagpupulong ng Setyembre
54%
Pagpupulong sa Oktubre
63%
Pagpupulong sa Disyembre
68%
If no April meeting takes place by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 16, 2025, 2:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If no April meeting takes place by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a cautious Federal Reserve stance after March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from 2.4%—fueled by energy price spikes amid Middle East tensions, alongside robust nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs and unemployment dipping to 4.3%. The FOMC held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% on March 17-18, with Chair Powell noting slower inflation progress and flexibility to monitor geopolitical impacts. CME FedWatch implies near-99% odds of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, prioritizing data-dependent policy amid resilient labor markets and sticky prices. Watch May 12 CPI release and June FOMC for potential shifts in rate cut expectations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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