Persistent inflation pressures from energy price shocks and a resilient labor market, with May 2026 CPI at 4.2% year-over-year and steady nonfarm payroll gains, have kept the federal funds rate anchored at 3.50%-3.75%. The FOMC's wait-and-see stance under new Chair Kevin Warsh, reinforced by economist surveys projecting no cuts for the remainder of 2026 and futures pricing possible hikes, underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects firm monetary policy amid above-target inflation and solid growth. A sharp recession or abrupt geopolitical resolution easing energy costs could still prompt an unscheduled move.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$105,631 Vol.
$105,631 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$105,631 Vol.
$105,631 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation pressures from energy price shocks and a resilient labor market, with May 2026 CPI at 4.2% year-over-year and steady nonfarm payroll gains, have kept the federal funds rate anchored at 3.50%-3.75%. The FOMC's wait-and-see stance under new Chair Kevin Warsh, reinforced by economist surveys projecting no cuts for the remainder of 2026 and futures pricing possible hikes, underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects firm monetary policy amid above-target inflation and solid growth. A sharp recession or abrupt geopolitical resolution easing energy costs could still prompt an unscheduled move.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$105,631Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation pressures from energy price shocks and a resilient labor market, with May 2026 CPI at 4.2% year-over-year and steady nonfarm payroll gains, have kept the federal funds rate anchored at 3.50%-3.75%. The FOMC's wait-and-see stance under new Chair Kevin Warsh, reinforced by economist surveys projecting no cuts for the remainder of 2026 and futures pricing possible hikes, underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects firm monetary policy amid above-target inflation and solid growth. A sharp recession or abrupt geopolitical resolution easing energy costs could still prompt an unscheduled move.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volume
$105,631Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures from energy price shocks and a resilient labor market, with May 2026 CPI at 4.2% year-over-year and steady nonfarm payroll gains, have kept the federal funds rate anchored at 3.50%-3.75%. The FOMC's wait-and-see stance under new Chair Kevin Warsh, reinforced by economist surveys projecting no cuts for the remainder of 2026 and futures pricing possible hikes, underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects firm monetary policy amid above-target inflation and solid growth. A sharp recession or abrupt geopolitical resolution easing energy costs could still prompt an unscheduled move.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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