Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 92.5% implied probability against an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027, reflecting the current 3.50–3.75% fed funds target range and expectations that the FOMC will hold policy steady through 2026 amid persistent inflation pressures. Recent data show Q1 2026 GDP growth at 1.6%, unemployment near 4.3%, and CPI readings above 3.8% year-over-year, with energy costs contributing to upside risks that tilt the balance toward caution rather than easing. Markets price limited volatility and no acute financial stress or sharp labor-market deterioration that would justify an unscheduled intermeeting move. A sudden recession, major banking event, or severe geopolitical shock pushing unemployment sharply higher could still alter this path.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$105,631 Vol.
$105,631 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$105,631 Vol.
$105,631 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 92.5% implied probability against an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027, reflecting the current 3.50–3.75% fed funds target range and expectations that the FOMC will hold policy steady through 2026 amid persistent inflation pressures. Recent data show Q1 2026 GDP growth at 1.6%, unemployment near 4.3%, and CPI readings above 3.8% year-over-year, with energy costs contributing to upside risks that tilt the balance toward caution rather than easing. Markets price limited volatility and no acute financial stress or sharp labor-market deterioration that would justify an unscheduled intermeeting move. A sudden recession, major banking event, or severe geopolitical shock pushing unemployment sharply higher could still alter this path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$105,631Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 92.5% implied probability against an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027, reflecting the current 3.50–3.75% fed funds target range and expectations that the FOMC will hold policy steady through 2026 amid persistent inflation pressures. Recent data show Q1 2026 GDP growth at 1.6%, unemployment near 4.3%, and CPI readings above 3.8% year-over-year, with energy costs contributing to upside risks that tilt the balance toward caution rather than easing. Markets price limited volatility and no acute financial stress or sharp labor-market deterioration that would justify an unscheduled intermeeting move. A sudden recession, major banking event, or severe geopolitical shock pushing unemployment sharply higher could still alter this path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volume
$105,631Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 92.5% implied probability against an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027, reflecting the current 3.50–3.75% fed funds target range and expectations that the FOMC will hold policy steady through 2026 amid persistent inflation pressures. Recent data show Q1 2026 GDP growth at 1.6%, unemployment near 4.3%, and CPI readings above 3.8% year-over-year, with energy costs contributing to upside risks that tilt the balance toward caution rather than easing. Markets price limited volatility and no acute financial stress or sharp labor-market deterioration that would justify an unscheduled intermeeting move. A sudden recession, major banking event, or severe geopolitical shock pushing unemployment sharply higher could still alter this path.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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