Anthropic holds a narrow 54.4% implied probability lead over SpaceX at 45.5% for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, reflecting trader focus on its targeted October Nasdaq debut at roughly $2 trillion or higher. SpaceX completed its record June listing at a $1.77 trillion valuation (first-day close near $2.1 trillion) after acquiring xAI earlier in the year, establishing a high benchmark. Anthropic’s momentum stems from its confidential June S-1 filing, revenue run-rate surging past $65 billion, and recent private/secondary valuations climbing to $965 billion–$1.28 trillion. Key swing factors include Anthropic’s final pricing amid supportive AI multiples versus any post-IPO weakness in SpaceX shares, with xAI and other candidates at far lower odds due to acquisition or delayed timelines.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updatePinakamalaking IPO sa pamamagitan ng market cap sa 2026?
Pinakamalaking IPO sa pamamagitan ng market cap sa 2026?
Anthropic 54.4%
SpaceX 46%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$6,040,710 Vol.
$6,040,710 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Anthropic
54%
SpaceX
46%
OpenAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Databricks
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Discord
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Kraken
<1%
Anthropic 54.4%
SpaceX 46%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$6,040,710 Vol.
$6,040,710 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Anthropic
$1,129,169 Vol.
54%
SpaceX
$888,748 Vol.
46%
OpenAI
$566,647 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$214,990 Vol.
<1%
Stripe
$136,177 Vol.
<1%
Databricks
$615,327 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$583,615 Vol.
<1%
Waymo
$318,150 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$634,054 Vol.
<1%
Discord
$184,734 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$108,136 Vol.
<1%
Kraken
$660,964 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic holds a narrow 54.4% implied probability lead over SpaceX at 45.5% for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, reflecting trader focus on its targeted October Nasdaq debut at roughly $2 trillion or higher. SpaceX completed its record June listing at a $1.77 trillion valuation (first-day close near $2.1 trillion) after acquiring xAI earlier in the year, establishing a high benchmark. Anthropic’s momentum stems from its confidential June S-1 filing, revenue run-rate surging past $65 billion, and recent private/secondary valuations climbing to $965 billion–$1.28 trillion. Key swing factors include Anthropic’s final pricing amid supportive AI multiples versus any post-IPO weakness in SpaceX shares, with xAI and other candidates at far lower odds due to acquisition or delayed timelines.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$6,040,710Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic holds a narrow 54.4% implied probability lead over SpaceX at 45.5% for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, reflecting trader focus on its targeted October Nasdaq debut at roughly $2 trillion or higher. SpaceX completed its record June listing at a $1.77 trillion valuation (first-day close near $2.1 trillion) after acquiring xAI earlier in the year, establishing a high benchmark. Anthropic’s momentum stems from its confidential June S-1 filing, revenue run-rate surging past $65 billion, and recent private/secondary valuations climbing to $965 billion–$1.28 trillion. Key swing factors include Anthropic’s final pricing amid supportive AI multiples versus any post-IPO weakness in SpaceX shares, with xAI and other candidates at far lower odds due to acquisition or delayed timelines.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$6,040,710Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic holds a narrow 54.4% implied probability lead over SpaceX at 45.5% for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, reflecting trader focus on its targeted October Nasdaq debut at roughly $2 trillion or higher. SpaceX completed its record June listing at a $1.77 trillion valuation (first-day close near $2.1 trillion) after acquiring xAI earlier in the year, establishing a high benchmark. Anthropic’s momentum stems from its confidential June S-1 filing, revenue run-rate surging past $65 billion, and recent private/secondary valuations climbing to $965 billion–$1.28 trillion. Key swing factors include Anthropic’s final pricing amid supportive AI multiples versus any post-IPO weakness in SpaceX shares, with xAI and other candidates at far lower odds due to acquisition or delayed timelines.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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