SpaceX’s rapid progress toward full Starship reusability—catching and reflighting both the Super Heavy booster and upper-stage ship—underpins the market’s strong 81% consensus for success before 2028. Version 3 prototypes have enabled higher performance, with Flight 13 in July 2026 demonstrating Starlink deployment, refined heat-shield performance during reentry, and controlled descent that positions the program for an imminent tower catch of the ship on Flight 14, pending regulatory clearance later this month. Booster tower catches are already routine, and ongoing V3 avionics upgrades target the high flight rates required for rapid reuse. While orbital refueling demonstrations and repeated ship recoveries remain critical hurdles that could introduce delays, the company’s aggressive test cadence and engineering momentum have kept timelines on track for full system reusability well ahead of the 2028 deadline.