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icon for 2nd richest person on December 31?

2nd richest person on December 31?

icon for 2nd richest person on December 31?

2nd richest person on December 31?

Larry Page 48%

Michael Dell 43%

Sergey Brin 26.9%

Jensen Huang 21.3%

Polymarket

$46,108 Vol.

Larry Page 48%

Michael Dell 43%

Sergey Brin 26.9%

Jensen Huang 21.3%

Polymarket

$46,108 Vol.

icon for Larry Page

Larry Page

$21,066 Vol.

68%

icon for Michael Dell

Michael Dell

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Sergey Brin

Sergey Brin

$7,498 Vol.

27%

icon for Jensen Huang

Jensen Huang

$1,410 Vol.

21%

icon for Steve Ballmer

Steve Ballmer

$1,193 Vol.

21%

icon for Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett

$1,887 Vol.

21%

icon for Bernard Arnault

Bernard Arnault

$905 Vol.

12%

icon for Mark Zuckerberg

Mark Zuckerberg

$595 Vol.

10%

icon for Larry Ellison

Larry Ellison

$913 Vol.

10%

icon for Jeff Bezos

Jeff Bezos

$9,746 Vol.

8%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$896 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page holds the strongest market-implied odds at 66% to finish 2026 as the world’s second-richest person, reflecting his current #2 ranking behind Elon Musk and Alphabet’s entrenched position in the AI boom. Sergey Brin trails at 27.6% as his co-founder’s fortunes remain closely tied to the same Google parent. Recent volatility has lifted Michael Dell briefly into second place on surging Dell Technologies shares driven by AI data-center demand, explaining his 21.5% odds and those of nearby contenders like Jensen Huang. Broader tech gains have pushed legacy figures such as Warren Buffett and Bernard Arnault lower in trader consensus, while end-of-year stock swings and AI sector momentum remain the key swing factors through December.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$46,108
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page holds the strongest market-implied odds at 66% to finish 2026 as the world’s second-richest person, reflecting his current #2 ranking behind Elon Musk and Alphabet’s entrenched position in the AI boom. Sergey Brin trails at 27.6% as his co-founder’s fortunes remain closely tied to the same Google parent. Recent volatility has lifted Michael Dell briefly into second place on surging Dell Technologies shares driven by AI data-center demand, explaining his 21.5% odds and those of nearby contenders like Jensen Huang. Broader tech gains have pushed legacy figures such as Warren Buffett and Bernard Arnault lower in trader consensus, while end-of-year stock swings and AI sector momentum remain the key swing factors through December.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$46,108
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Kaugnay

icon for Magiging pinakamayamang tao ba si Elon Musk sa Disyembre 31?

Magiging pinakamayamang tao ba si Elon Musk sa Disyembre 31?

96%
Oo
icon for Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on December 31?

Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on December 31?

43%
icon for Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

54%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "2nd richest person on December 31?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Larry Page" sa 68%, sinusundan ng "Sergey Brin" sa 27%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 68¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 68% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "2nd richest person on December 31?" ay naka-generate ng $46.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 30, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "2nd richest person on December 31?," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "2nd richest person on December 31?" ay "Larry Page" sa 68%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 68% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Sergey Brin" sa 27%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "2nd richest person on December 31?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.