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Ekonomiya·Jerome Powell

Ano ang mangyayari sa Fed Rate bago ang 2027?

Market icon
Ekonomiya·Jerome Powell

Ano ang mangyayari sa Fed Rate bago ang 2027?

$1,350,186 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,350,186 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 5.5%

$43,964 Vol.

6%

↑ 5.25%

$139,552 Vol.

4%

↑ 5.0%

$11,697 Vol.

4%

↑ 4.75%

$70,115 Vol.

4%

↑ 4.5%

$13,865 Vol.

6%

↑ 4.25%

$22,844 Vol.

8%

↓ 3.25%

$56,441 Vol.

68%

↓ 3.0%

$235,904 Vol.

30%

↓ 2.75%

$268,128 Vol.

15%

↓ 2.5%

$180,136 Vol.

9%

↓ 2.25%

$23,035 Vol.

8%

↓ 2.0%

$15,119 Vol.

7%

↓ 1.75%

$7,427 Vol.

7%

↓ 1.5%

$24,878 Vol.

7%

↓ 1.25%

$938 Vol.

4%

↓ 1.0%

$1,761 Vol.

7%

↓ 0.75%

$388 Vol.

8%

↓ 0.5%

$94,977 Vol.

4%

↓ 0.25%

$119,265 Vol.

5%

↓ 0%

$10,745 Vol.

3%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a steady federal funds rate trajectory near the current 3.50%-3.75% target range through 2026, driven by March 2026 CPI surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—prompting the FOMC to hold rates unchanged at its March meeting. Fed funds futures imply averages around 3.6% into early 2027, aligning with the March dot plot's median projection of 3.4% by year-end 2026 amid resilient labor markets (4.3% unemployment) and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%. The April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms as the key catalyst, with focus on inflation persistence and potential shifts in the policy path before 2027.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volume
$1,350,186
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a steady federal funds rate trajectory near the current 3.50%-3.75% target range through 2026, driven by March 2026 CPI surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—prompting the FOMC to hold rates unchanged at its March meeting. Fed funds futures imply averages around 3.6% into early 2027, aligning with the March dot plot's median projection of 3.4% by year-end 2026 amid resilient labor markets (4.3% unemployment) and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%. The April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms as the key catalyst, with focus on inflation persistence and potential shifts in the policy path before 2027.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volume
$1,350,186
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Ano ang mangyayari sa Fed Rate bago ang 2027?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 21 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay " ↓ 3.5%" sa 100%, sinusundan ng " ↓ 3.25%" sa 68%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Ano ang mangyayari sa Fed Rate bago ang 2027?" ay naka-generate ng $1.4 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 18, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Ano ang mangyayari sa Fed Rate bago ang 2027?," i-browse ang 21 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Ano ang mangyayari sa Fed Rate bago ang 2027?" ay " ↓ 3.5%" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay " ↓ 3.25%" sa 68%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Ano ang mangyayari sa Fed Rate bago ang 2027?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.