Traders price no change at the September 2026 FOMC meeting as the clear consensus outcome because incoming data show the U.S. economy maintaining steady growth with inflation remaining above the 2 percent target yet longer-term expectations anchored. Recent FOMC minutes and dot-plot updates indicate policymakers expect to hold the federal funds rate near its current level through year-end amid a resilient labor market and balanced risks, with limited scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction before the next Summary of Economic Projections. Scheduled data releases and any shifts in inflation or employment readings between now and mid-September remain the primary near-term catalysts that could alter positioning ahead of the September 15-16 meeting.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNo change 77%
25 bps increase 16%
25 bps decrease 7%
50+ bps decrease 1.8%
$92,478 Vol.
$92,478 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
7%
No change
77%
25 bps increase
16%
50+ bps increase
2%
No change 77%
25 bps increase 16%
25 bps decrease 7%
50+ bps decrease 1.8%
$92,478 Vol.
$92,478 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$15,219 Vol.
2%
25 bps decrease
$21,121 Vol.
7%
No change
$21,331 Vol.
77%
25 bps increase
$19,120 Vol.
16%
50+ bps increase
$15,687 Vol.
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders price no change at the September 2026 FOMC meeting as the clear consensus outcome because incoming data show the U.S. economy maintaining steady growth with inflation remaining above the 2 percent target yet longer-term expectations anchored. Recent FOMC minutes and dot-plot updates indicate policymakers expect to hold the federal funds rate near its current level through year-end amid a resilient labor market and balanced risks, with limited scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction before the next Summary of Economic Projections. Scheduled data releases and any shifts in inflation or employment readings between now and mid-September remain the primary near-term catalysts that could alter positioning ahead of the September 15-16 meeting.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$92,478Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders price no change at the September 2026 FOMC meeting as the clear consensus outcome because incoming data show the U.S. economy maintaining steady growth with inflation remaining above the 2 percent target yet longer-term expectations anchored. Recent FOMC minutes and dot-plot updates indicate policymakers expect to hold the federal funds rate near its current level through year-end amid a resilient labor market and balanced risks, with limited scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction before the next Summary of Economic Projections. Scheduled data releases and any shifts in inflation or employment readings between now and mid-September remain the primary near-term catalysts that could alter positioning ahead of the September 15-16 meeting.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$92,478Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price no change at the September 2026 FOMC meeting as the clear consensus outcome because incoming data show the U.S. economy maintaining steady growth with inflation remaining above the 2 percent target yet longer-term expectations anchored. Recent FOMC minutes and dot-plot updates indicate policymakers expect to hold the federal funds rate near its current level through year-end amid a resilient labor market and balanced risks, with limited scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction before the next Summary of Economic Projections. Scheduled data releases and any shifts in inflation or employment readings between now and mid-September remain the primary near-term catalysts that could alter positioning ahead of the September 15-16 meeting.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong