Recent minor incidents, including elevated error rates affecting free ChatGPT users on August 13 and increased errors on August 10-11, have kept trader focus on OpenAI's service reliability amid sustained high demand for its large language models. OpenAI's status page reports 99.67% ChatGPT uptime since May, yet a major worldwide outage on July 25—impacting logins, prompts, and APIs across multiple regions—highlighted ongoing scaling challenges with infrastructure and traffic spikes. Competitive pressure from models like Claude and Gemini adds scrutiny, as any extended disruption could shift user adoption. With no major product launches imminent, the next catalyst will likely come from usage patterns or unannounced infrastructure updates that test platform stability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateChatGPT Outage by....?
August 22
53%
August 31
79%
$515 Vol.
August 22
53%
August 31
79%
ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on the specified day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once it is finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will remain open until the specified day’s status box is finalized and all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published before the specified day’s status box is finalized or before all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved.
This market will resolve once the specified day’s status box is finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified date is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on the specified day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once it is finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will remain open until the specified day’s status box is finalized and all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published before the specified day’s status box is finalized or before all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved.
This market will resolve once the specified day’s status box is finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified date is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent minor incidents, including elevated error rates affecting free ChatGPT users on August 13 and increased errors on August 10-11, have kept trader focus on OpenAI's service reliability amid sustained high demand for its large language models. OpenAI's status page reports 99.67% ChatGPT uptime since May, yet a major worldwide outage on July 25—impacting logins, prompts, and APIs across multiple regions—highlighted ongoing scaling challenges with infrastructure and traffic spikes. Competitive pressure from models like Claude and Gemini adds scrutiny, as any extended disruption could shift user adoption. With no major product launches imminent, the next catalyst will likely come from usage patterns or unannounced infrastructure updates that test platform stability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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