Anthropic’s rapid private-market ascent, highlighted by its $965 billion post-money valuation after the May 2026 Series H round and revenue run-rate exceeding $47 billion, forms the core driver behind trader sentiment on IPO closing market cap. Confidential S-1 filing in June and investor meetings point to a possible October 2026 listing, with backers citing growth that could support at least $2 trillion, roughly double the latest private level. The evenly distributed probabilities across $1.5–2.5 trillion buckets reflect uncertainty over public-market multiples, AI sector comparables such as OpenAI, prevailing Treasury yields, and overall risk appetite at debut. Secondary trading implying premiums above $1 trillion underscores the potential for an opening-day pop, while the low 3.3% probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 signals broad consensus on near-term timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.0–$2.25T 16.6%
$1.75–$2.0T 17%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$1.5–$1.75T 16.4%
$347,693 Vol.
$347,693 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.25T
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
9%
$1.5–$1.75T
16%
$1.75–$2.0T
17%
$2.0–$2.25T
17%
$2.25–$2.5T
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
12%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.6%
$1.75–$2.0T 17%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$1.5–$1.75T 16.4%
$347,693 Vol.
$347,693 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.25T
$53,750 Vol.
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
$51,824 Vol.
9%
$1.5–$1.75T
$48,904 Vol.
16%
$1.75–$2.0T
$32,114 Vol.
17%
$2.0–$2.25T
$39,932 Vol.
17%
$2.25–$2.5T
$32,882 Vol.
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
$25,099 Vol.
12%
$2.75–$3.0T
$15,621 Vol.
5%
$3.0T+
$23,520 Vol.
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$24,049 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid private-market ascent, highlighted by its $965 billion post-money valuation after the May 2026 Series H round and revenue run-rate exceeding $47 billion, forms the core driver behind trader sentiment on IPO closing market cap. Confidential S-1 filing in June and investor meetings point to a possible October 2026 listing, with backers citing growth that could support at least $2 trillion, roughly double the latest private level. The evenly distributed probabilities across $1.5–2.5 trillion buckets reflect uncertainty over public-market multiples, AI sector comparables such as OpenAI, prevailing Treasury yields, and overall risk appetite at debut. Secondary trading implying premiums above $1 trillion underscores the potential for an opening-day pop, while the low 3.3% probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 signals broad consensus on near-term timing.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$347,693End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid private-market ascent, highlighted by its $965 billion post-money valuation after the May 2026 Series H round and revenue run-rate exceeding $47 billion, forms the core driver behind trader sentiment on IPO closing market cap. Confidential S-1 filing in June and investor meetings point to a possible October 2026 listing, with backers citing growth that could support at least $2 trillion, roughly double the latest private level. The evenly distributed probabilities across $1.5–2.5 trillion buckets reflect uncertainty over public-market multiples, AI sector comparables such as OpenAI, prevailing Treasury yields, and overall risk appetite at debut. Secondary trading implying premiums above $1 trillion underscores the potential for an opening-day pop, while the low 3.3% probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 signals broad consensus on near-term timing.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$347,693End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s rapid private-market ascent, highlighted by its $965 billion post-money valuation after the May 2026 Series H round and revenue run-rate exceeding $47 billion, forms the core driver behind trader sentiment on IPO closing market cap. Confidential S-1 filing in June and investor meetings point to a possible October 2026 listing, with backers citing growth that could support at least $2 trillion, roughly double the latest private level. The evenly distributed probabilities across $1.5–2.5 trillion buckets reflect uncertainty over public-market multiples, AI sector comparables such as OpenAI, prevailing Treasury yields, and overall risk appetite at debut. Secondary trading implying premiums above $1 trillion underscores the potential for an opening-day pop, while the low 3.3% probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 signals broad consensus on near-term timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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