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Math predictions & odds

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Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?

90%

Anthropic

$413K Vol.

$68.4K today

$77.1K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Which company has the second best Math AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best Math AI model end of April?

4%

Google

$10.9K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

47%

Anthropic

$1.1K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

40%

60%+

$29.9K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 2 months

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

29%

50%+

$59.6K Vol.

$726 Liq.

12

Ends in 2 months

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by June 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by June 30?

62%

1520

$4.3K Vol.

$704 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

94%

1525

$1.9K Vol.

$914 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

16%

60%+

$131K Vol.

$775 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

40%

25%+

$19.5K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 2 months

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

71%

$4.7K Vol.

$353 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Shymkent 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Nedic

Shymkent 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Nedic

63%

Andrej Nedic

$60.3K Vol.

$60.3K today

$43.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

42%

George Russell

$135M Vol.

$2M today

$12M Liq.

168

Ends in 7 months

F1 Constructors' Champion

F1 Constructors' Champion

78%

Mercedes

$14M Vol.

$229K today

$1M Liq.

25

Ends in 7 months

UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final

UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final

65%

Arsenal

$350K Vol.

$119K today

$149K Liq.

8

Ends in 8 days

MLS Cup Winner 2026

MLS Cup Winner 2026

16%

Inter Miami CF

$16M Vol.

$1M Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

94%

Reform

$93.8K Vol.

$89.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

62%

$242K Vol.

$29.9K Liq.

11

Ends in about 1 month

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

98%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

$2M Vol.

$152K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

Süper Lig Winner

Süper Lig Winner

99%

Galatasaray

$110K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

21

Ends in 25 days

UEFA Champions League: Home country of champion

UEFA Champions League: Home country of champion

41%

Germany

$70.3K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Math.

Polymarket currently hosts 182 active markets for Math that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $169.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Shymkent 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Nedic”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “F1 Drivers' Champion,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “F1 Drivers' Champion,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 42% chance to George Russell. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Math predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.