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Chatgpt predictions & odds

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# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

71%

4+

$8.3K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

63%

ChatGPT

$6.8K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

60%

Claude by Anthropic

$1.4K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

43%

ChatGPT

$401 Vol.

$789 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

37%

ChatGPT

$261 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

38%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$1.1K Vol.

$198K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of July?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of July?

80%

Anthropic

$3.1K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of June?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of June?

93%

Anthropic

$46.5K Vol.

$111K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of June?

Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of June?

93%

Anthropic

$9.7K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?

52%

Anthropic

$1.6K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

84%

December 31, 2026

$344K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

44

Which company has the best Math AI model end of June?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of June?

46%

Anthropic

$187K Vol.

$75.1K today

$102K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

78%

1560

$4.0K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Which company has second best AI model end of July?

Which company has second best AI model end of July?

73%

Anthropic

$5.7K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?

Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?

86%

1520+

$63.9K Vol.

$63.9K today

$20.5K Liq.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

65%

Anthropic

$4.8K Vol.

$524K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Which company has best AI model end of July?

Which company has best AI model end of July?

88%

Anthropic

$54.6K Vol.

$369K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

89%

Anthropic

$573K Vol.

$148K Liq.

51

Ends in 20 days

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

5%

$2.6K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Which company has the #2 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

86%

Anthropic

$1.4K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Chatgpt.

Polymarket currently hosts 110 active markets for Chatgpt that lets you track or trade on predictions like “# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has second best AI model end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has second best AI model end of June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 89% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Chatgpt predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.