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GPT 5 previsões e probabilidades

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GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

94%

July 31

$923K Vol.

$60.5K Liq.

18

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

69%

June 22–June 28

$173K Vol.

$26.8K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

30%

50%+

$25.3K Vol.

$369 Liq.

1

Ends em 16 dias

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

81%

December 31, 2026

$356K Vol.

$23.2K Liq.

44

Ends há 6 meses

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

98%

September 30

$24.4K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$170K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

30

Ends em 16 dias

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Atreides

$1.8K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

SHISHKA

$603 Vol.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

52%

4+

$10.3K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends em 16 dias

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Misa Esports

$916 Vol.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

42%

June 30

$57 Vol.

$867 Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Endless Journey

$1.4K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage

Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage

50%

Five Fears

$0 Vol.

$199 Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Gaming By Legends (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A

Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Gaming By Legends (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A

51%

Noir Verse

$144 Vol.

$2 Liq.

Ends há 1 dia

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

54%

New Playboi Carti Album

$23M Vol.

$723K Liq.

886

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

CYBERSHOKE Prospects

$705 Vol.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Donstu Esports

$2.3K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

31%

$307K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?

Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?

76%

July 1

$41.6K Vol.

$37.7K Liq.

7

Ends em 18 dias

Counter-Strike: Clair Obscur vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Clair Obscur vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Misa Esports

$13.3K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like GPT 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for GPT 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “GPT-5.6 released by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $24.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Clair Obscur vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will happen before GTA VI?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 54% chance to New Playboi Carti Album . These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on GPT 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.