OpenAI's March 2026 private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchored by major investors including Amazon and Nvidia, anchors trader expectations for its potential IPO later this year. With confidential filing preparations underway for a possible Q4 2026 debut and revenue scaling rapidly from ChatGPT and large language model deployments, markets price in substantial upside from AI capability gains and user adoption. Yet the spread across valuation bins reflects uncertainty over sustained losses, competitive pressure from rivals like Anthropic, regulatory scrutiny on AI safety, and typical IPO valuation adjustments. Key upcoming catalysts include any pre-IPO funding updates or earnings disclosures that could clarify growth trajectories versus profitability timelines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$1.75T–$2.0T 26%
$1.25T–$1.5T 15%
$1.0T–$1.25T 14%
$2.25T–$2.5T 13%
<$1T
12%
$1.0T–$1.25T
14%
$1.25T–$1.5T
15%
$1.5T–$1.75T
8%
$1.75T–$2.0T
26%
$2.0T–$2.25T
5%
$2.25T–$2.5T
13%
$2.5T+
7%
$1.75T–$2.0T 26%
$1.25T–$1.5T 15%
$1.0T–$1.25T 14%
$2.25T–$2.5T 13%
<$1T
12%
$1.0T–$1.25T
14%
$1.25T–$1.5T
15%
$1.5T–$1.75T
8%
$1.75T–$2.0T
26%
$2.0T–$2.25T
5%
$2.25T–$2.5T
13%
$2.5T+
7%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's March 2026 private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchored by major investors including Amazon and Nvidia, anchors trader expectations for its potential IPO later this year. With confidential filing preparations underway for a possible Q4 2026 debut and revenue scaling rapidly from ChatGPT and large language model deployments, markets price in substantial upside from AI capability gains and user adoption. Yet the spread across valuation bins reflects uncertainty over sustained losses, competitive pressure from rivals like Anthropic, regulatory scrutiny on AI safety, and typical IPO valuation adjustments. Key upcoming catalysts include any pre-IPO funding updates or earnings disclosures that could clarify growth trajectories versus profitability timelines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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