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Elections·Midterms

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Midterms

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Adam Hamawy 99.9%

Brad Cohen <1%

Matthew Adams <1%

Elijah Dixon <1%

Polymarket

$65,377 Vol.

Adam Hamawy 99.9%

Brad Cohen <1%

Matthew Adams <1%

Elijah Dixon <1%

Polymarket

$65,377 Vol.

Matthew Adams

$1,416 Vol.

No

Brad Cohen

$3,213 Vol.

No

Elijah Dixon

$3,820 Vol.

No

Adrian Mapp

$3,713 Vol.

No

Michael Anderson

$4,701 Vol.

No

Tennille R. McCoy

$5,358 Vol.

No

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

$3,987 Vol.

No

Adam Hamawy

$14,539 Vol.

Yes

Raymond Heck

$3,694 Vol.

No

Susan Altman

$17,221 Vol.

No

Kyle Little

$3,713 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 12th Congressional District in the June 2 primary, defeating a field of more than a dozen candidates to succeed retiring Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman. The crowded contest produced a plurality victory for the Army veteran and surgeon, supported by substantial outside spending from aligned super PACs and endorsements from party figures. Trader consensus at 100 percent for Hamawy aligns directly with the certified primary results and historical patterns in open-seat primaries with fragmented opposition. Remaining uncertainty centers on any potential recounts, ballot challenges, or official certification delays, though such developments have rarely overturned similar outcomes in New Jersey congressional primaries.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$65,377
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 12th Congressional District in the June 2 primary, defeating a field of more than a dozen candidates to succeed retiring Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman. The crowded contest produced a plurality victory for the Army veteran and surgeon, supported by substantial outside spending from aligned super PACs and endorsements from party figures. Trader consensus at 100 percent for Hamawy aligns directly with the certified primary results and historical patterns in open-seat primaries with fragmented opposition. Remaining uncertainty centers on any potential recounts, ballot challenges, or official certification delays, though such developments have rarely overturned similar outcomes in New Jersey congressional primaries.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$65,377
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Adam Hamawy" at 100%, followed by "Matthew Adams" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $65.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Adam Hamawy" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Matthew Adams" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.