Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge over California Governor Gavin Newsom as trader consensus frontrunners for the 2028 presidential election on Polymarket, reflecting recent head-to-head polls like UMass Lowell's late-March survey showing Vance at 33% to Newsom's 30% amid mixed favorability ratings for both. Vance dominates GOP straw polls, such as CPAC's 53% support, positioning him as the natural successor under term-limited President Trump, while Newsom leads some Democratic hypotheticals despite low popularity in Emerson polling. Marco Rubio's rise to third stems from his high-profile Secretary of State role. With primaries over two years away, the race stays tight due to open-field uncertainty, economic performance, and 2026 midterms; Trump endorsements or scandals could create separation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNagwagi ng Halalan sa Pagkapangulo 2028
Nagwagi ng Halalan sa Pagkapangulo 2028
JD Vance 18.9%
Gavin Newsom 17.1%
Marco Rubio 11.3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.7%
$537,089,019 Vol.
$537,089,019 Vol.
JD Vance
19%
Gavin Newsom
17%
Marco Rubio
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
Kamala Harris
4%
Jon Ossoff
4%
Donald Trump
2%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Pete Buttigieg
2%
Tucker Carlson
2%
Ron DeSantis
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Andy Beshear
1%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
JB Pritzker
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
Thomas Massie
1%
James Talarico
1%
Elon Musk
1%
Stephen Smith
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Jamie Dimon
1%
Donald Trump Jr.
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
Ro Khanna
1%
Wes Moore
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Zohran Mamdani
1%
Eric Trump
1%
Tim Walz
1%
LeBron James
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
JD Vance 18.9%
Gavin Newsom 17.1%
Marco Rubio 11.3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.7%
$537,089,019 Vol.
$537,089,019 Vol.
JD Vance
19%
Gavin Newsom
17%
Marco Rubio
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
Kamala Harris
4%
Jon Ossoff
4%
Donald Trump
2%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Pete Buttigieg
2%
Tucker Carlson
2%
Ron DeSantis
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Andy Beshear
1%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
JB Pritzker
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
Thomas Massie
1%
James Talarico
1%
Elon Musk
1%
Stephen Smith
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Jamie Dimon
1%
Donald Trump Jr.
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
Ro Khanna
1%
Wes Moore
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Zohran Mamdani
1%
Eric Trump
1%
Tim Walz
1%
LeBron James
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge over California Governor Gavin Newsom as trader consensus frontrunners for the 2028 presidential election on Polymarket, reflecting recent head-to-head polls like UMass Lowell's late-March survey showing Vance at 33% to Newsom's 30% amid mixed favorability ratings for both. Vance dominates GOP straw polls, such as CPAC's 53% support, positioning him as the natural successor under term-limited President Trump, while Newsom leads some Democratic hypotheticals despite low popularity in Emerson polling. Marco Rubio's rise to third stems from his high-profile Secretary of State role. With primaries over two years away, the race stays tight due to open-field uncertainty, economic performance, and 2026 midterms; Trump endorsements or scandals could create separation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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