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Politika·Estados Unidos

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

icon for Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Politika·Estados Unidos

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 51.2%

Marco Rubio 16.2%

Tucker Carlson 3.6%

Ron DeSantis 2.8%

Polymarket

$705,635,909 Vol.

J.D. Vance 51.2%

Marco Rubio 16.2%

Tucker Carlson 3.6%

Ron DeSantis 2.8%

Polymarket

$705,635,909 Vol.

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$15,662,893 Vol.

51%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$10,634,363 Vol.

16%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$13,785,084 Vol.

4%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$15,529,294 Vol.

3%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$9,557,778 Vol.

2%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$19,449,109 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$9,664,166 Vol.

2%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$8,566,010 Vol.

1%

icon for Thomas Massie

Thomas Massie

$6,105,827 Vol.

1%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$8,717,591 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth

$9,354,744 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$13,952,316 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$17,936,773 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$20,408,029 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$6,765,067 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$16,108,369 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$16,837,946 Vol.

<1%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$44,420,549 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$19,549,838 Vol.

<1%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$870,705 Vol.

<1%

icon for Steve Bannon

Steve Bannon

$22,966,177 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$10,384,049 Vol.

<1%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$20,717,805 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$27,989,655 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$31,380,480 Vol.

<1%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$28,965,724 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$37,654,991 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$43,710,125 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$28,563,027 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eric Trump

Eric Trump

$10,572,632 Vol.

<1%

icon for Joe Kent

Joe Kent

$8,931,563 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$1,591,533 Vol.

<1%

icon for John N. Kennedy

John N. Kennedy

$435,329 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$34,473,415 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$20,395,118 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$38,165,915 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$32,968,593 Vol.

<1%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$19,018,545 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Scott

Tim Scott

$526,420 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mike Johnson

Mike Johnson

$867,175 Vol.

<1%

icon for Doug Burgum

Doug Burgum

$729,544 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rick Scott

Rick Scott

$751,644 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Vice President J.D. Vance and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. remain the closest contenders for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination according to current trader pricing, with their near-even odds reflecting ongoing uncertainty more than two years before primaries. Vance benefits from his role in the current administration and consistent polling leads among Republican voters, while Kennedy's positioning draws from his established base and policy focus. Marco Rubio trails in third, buoyed by his Senate experience and diplomatic role. The tight spread between the leaders highlights how early-cycle factors such as potential endorsements, midterm election outcomes, and shifts in party coalitions could widen or narrow gaps ahead of formal campaigning. Historical patterns show vice presidents often hold early edges in nomination contests, though sustained polling strength and grassroots support will determine whether separation emerges.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$705,635,909
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 7, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Vice President J.D. Vance and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. remain the closest contenders for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination according to current trader pricing, with their near-even odds reflecting ongoing uncertainty more than two years before primaries. Vance benefits from his role in the current administration and consistent polling leads among Republican voters, while Kennedy's positioning draws from his established base and policy focus. Marco Rubio trails in third, buoyed by his Senate experience and diplomatic role. The tight spread between the leaders highlights how early-cycle factors such as potential endorsements, midterm election outcomes, and shifts in party coalitions could widen or narrow gaps ahead of formal campaigning. Historical patterns show vice presidents often hold early edges in nomination contests, though sustained polling strength and grassroots support will determine whether separation emerges.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$705,635,909
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 7, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 42+ posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "J.D. Vance" sa 51%, sinusundan ng "Marco Rubio" sa 16%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 51¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 51% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" ay naka-generate ng $705.6 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 11, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028," i-browse ang 42+ available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" ay "J.D. Vance" sa 51%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 51% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Marco Rubio" sa 16%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.