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icon for Halalan ng Mayoral sa Los Angeles
Politika·LA

Halalan ng Mayoral sa Los Angeles

icon for Halalan ng Mayoral sa Los Angeles
Politika·LA

Halalan ng Mayoral sa Los Angeles

Polymarket

$13,561,279 Vol.

Polymarket

$13,561,279 Vol.

icon for Karen Bass

Karen Bass

$889,077 Vol.

66%

icon for Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

$1,525,863 Vol.

32%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds a lead in trader consensus for the November 3 runoff against City Councilmember Nithya Raman, reflecting her stronger primary performance across South Los Angeles and Latino-majority neighborhoods alongside advantages in name recognition and fundraising. Bass secured roughly 34 percent in the June primary to Raman’s 29 percent, advancing both candidates after Spencer Pratt was eliminated. Recent exchanges have centered on homelessness oversight, with Raman criticizing Bass’s record at the Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority and proposing greater City Hall control over spending, while Bass has highlighted structural reforms and stepped down from the agency commission. Raman continues to press for additional debates ahead of the October 12 forum, underscoring voter concerns over housing costs, public safety, and city services that keep the contest competitive despite Bass’s edge.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$13,561,279
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds a lead in trader consensus for the November 3 runoff against City Councilmember Nithya Raman, reflecting her stronger primary performance across South Los Angeles and Latino-majority neighborhoods alongside advantages in name recognition and fundraising. Bass secured roughly 34 percent in the June primary to Raman’s 29 percent, advancing both candidates after Spencer Pratt was eliminated. Recent exchanges have centered on homelessness oversight, with Raman criticizing Bass’s record at the Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority and proposing greater City Hall control over spending, while Bass has highlighted structural reforms and stepped down from the agency commission. Raman continues to press for additional debates ahead of the October 12 forum, underscoring voter concerns over housing costs, public safety, and city services that keep the contest competitive despite Bass’s edge.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$13,561,279
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Halalan ng Mayoral sa Los Angeles" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Karen Bass" sa 66%, sinusundan ng "Nithya Raman" sa 32%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 66¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 66% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Halalan ng Mayoral sa Los Angeles" ay naka-generate ng $13.6 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Oct 9, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Halalan ng Mayoral sa Los Angeles," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Halalan ng Mayoral sa Los Angeles" ay "Karen Bass" sa 66%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 66% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Nithya Raman" sa 32%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Halalan ng Mayoral sa Los Angeles" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.