Texas voters head to the polls in November 2026 to decide the state's U.S. Senate seat currently held by Republican incumbent John Cornyn. Recent polling averages show narrow general-election margins between Democrat James Talarico, the nominee after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March primary, and either Cornyn or Attorney General Ken Paxton, who advanced to a May 26 Republican runoff after neither secured a majority in the initial contest. Trader consensus at 55.5% for the Republican nominee reflects Texas's long-term partisan lean and historical GOP performance in statewide races, tempered by surveys indicating turnout challenges within the Republican base and Talarico's ability to consolidate Democratic support near 80%. President Trump's late endorsement of Paxton adds another variable ahead of the runoff, while the absence of major late-breaking developments keeps the implied probability close to even.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$248,306 Vol.
$248,306 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
56%
Democrat
45%
$248,306 Vol.
$248,306 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$137,994 Vol.
56%
Democrat
$110,312 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Texas voters head to the polls in November 2026 to decide the state's U.S. Senate seat currently held by Republican incumbent John Cornyn. Recent polling averages show narrow general-election margins between Democrat James Talarico, the nominee after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March primary, and either Cornyn or Attorney General Ken Paxton, who advanced to a May 26 Republican runoff after neither secured a majority in the initial contest. Trader consensus at 55.5% for the Republican nominee reflects Texas's long-term partisan lean and historical GOP performance in statewide races, tempered by surveys indicating turnout challenges within the Republican base and Talarico's ability to consolidate Democratic support near 80%. President Trump's late endorsement of Paxton adds another variable ahead of the runoff, while the absence of major late-breaking developments keeps the implied probability close to even.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volume
$248,306Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Texas voters head to the polls in November 2026 to decide the state's U.S. Senate seat currently held by Republican incumbent John Cornyn. Recent polling averages show narrow general-election margins between Democrat James Talarico, the nominee after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March primary, and either Cornyn or Attorney General Ken Paxton, who advanced to a May 26 Republican runoff after neither secured a majority in the initial contest. Trader consensus at 55.5% for the Republican nominee reflects Texas's long-term partisan lean and historical GOP performance in statewide races, tempered by surveys indicating turnout challenges within the Republican base and Talarico's ability to consolidate Democratic support near 80%. President Trump's late endorsement of Paxton adds another variable ahead of the runoff, while the absence of major late-breaking developments keeps the implied probability close to even.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$248,306Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas voters head to the polls in November 2026 to decide the state's U.S. Senate seat currently held by Republican incumbent John Cornyn. Recent polling averages show narrow general-election margins between Democrat James Talarico, the nominee after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March primary, and either Cornyn or Attorney General Ken Paxton, who advanced to a May 26 Republican runoff after neither secured a majority in the initial contest. Trader consensus at 55.5% for the Republican nominee reflects Texas's long-term partisan lean and historical GOP performance in statewide races, tempered by surveys indicating turnout challenges within the Republican base and Talarico's ability to consolidate Democratic support near 80%. President Trump's late endorsement of Paxton adds another variable ahead of the runoff, while the absence of major late-breaking developments keeps the implied probability close to even.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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