Abdul El-Sayed leads the Michigan Senate race in trader pricing after securing the Democratic nomination in an August 4 primary and holding narrow edges in September polling against Republican Mike Rogers. This open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters, features El-Sayed’s progressive platform and primary victory over Haley Stevens despite substantial outside spending favoring his opponent. Recent surveys, including Washington Post-Schar School and Emerson College results showing El-Sayed at 48 percent to Rogers’ 45-46 percent among likely voters, reflect a competitive contest in a state Donald Trump carried in 2024. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, with Democratic preference for Senate control and Rogers’ prior narrow 2024 loss providing context for the current implied probabilities. Scheduled debates and late-cycle turnout dynamics remain key variables ahead of the November 3 election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$842,825 Vol.
$842,825 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
67%
Mike Rogers (R)
35%
$842,825 Vol.
$842,825 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$473,837 Vol.
67%
Mike Rogers (R)
$368,988 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed leads the Michigan Senate race in trader pricing after securing the Democratic nomination in an August 4 primary and holding narrow edges in September polling against Republican Mike Rogers. This open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters, features El-Sayed’s progressive platform and primary victory over Haley Stevens despite substantial outside spending favoring his opponent. Recent surveys, including Washington Post-Schar School and Emerson College results showing El-Sayed at 48 percent to Rogers’ 45-46 percent among likely voters, reflect a competitive contest in a state Donald Trump carried in 2024. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, with Democratic preference for Senate control and Rogers’ prior narrow 2024 loss providing context for the current implied probabilities. Scheduled debates and late-cycle turnout dynamics remain key variables ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$842,825Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed leads the Michigan Senate race in trader pricing after securing the Democratic nomination in an August 4 primary and holding narrow edges in September polling against Republican Mike Rogers. This open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters, features El-Sayed’s progressive platform and primary victory over Haley Stevens despite substantial outside spending favoring his opponent. Recent surveys, including Washington Post-Schar School and Emerson College results showing El-Sayed at 48 percent to Rogers’ 45-46 percent among likely voters, reflect a competitive contest in a state Donald Trump carried in 2024. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, with Democratic preference for Senate control and Rogers’ prior narrow 2024 loss providing context for the current implied probabilities. Scheduled debates and late-cycle turnout dynamics remain key variables ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$842,825Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed leads the Michigan Senate race in trader pricing after securing the Democratic nomination in an August 4 primary and holding narrow edges in September polling against Republican Mike Rogers. This open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters, features El-Sayed’s progressive platform and primary victory over Haley Stevens despite substantial outside spending favoring his opponent. Recent surveys, including Washington Post-Schar School and Emerson College results showing El-Sayed at 48 percent to Rogers’ 45-46 percent among likely voters, reflect a competitive contest in a state Donald Trump carried in 2024. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, with Democratic preference for Senate control and Rogers’ prior narrow 2024 loss providing context for the current implied probabilities. Scheduled debates and late-cycle turnout dynamics remain key variables ahead of the November 3 election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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