Mary Peltola holds the market lead at 59 percent primarily because multiple recent Alaska Survey Research polls show her ahead of incumbent Dan Sullivan by 5–7 points, reinforced by her record first-quarter fundraising of nearly $9 million—more than four times Sullivan’s haul. Alaska’s nonpartisan August primary and ranked-choice voting general election introduce additional uncertainty that traders incorporate into pricing, alongside Peltola’s prior statewide victories. Sullivan retains a solid Republican base and Trump endorsement, yet the recent qualification of a second Dan Sullivan for the primary ballot has added potential voter confusion. Minor candidates remain negligible factors in the current trader consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAlaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 59%
Dan Sullivan 42%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$335,734 Vol.
$335,734 Vol.

Mary Peltola
59%

Dan Sullivan
42%

Dustin Darden
<1%

Ann Diener
<1%

Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 59%
Dan Sullivan 42%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$335,734 Vol.
$335,734 Vol.

Mary Peltola
59%

Dan Sullivan
42%

Dustin Darden
<1%

Ann Diener
<1%

Richard Grayson
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola holds the market lead at 59 percent primarily because multiple recent Alaska Survey Research polls show her ahead of incumbent Dan Sullivan by 5–7 points, reinforced by her record first-quarter fundraising of nearly $9 million—more than four times Sullivan’s haul. Alaska’s nonpartisan August primary and ranked-choice voting general election introduce additional uncertainty that traders incorporate into pricing, alongside Peltola’s prior statewide victories. Sullivan retains a solid Republican base and Trump endorsement, yet the recent qualification of a second Dan Sullivan for the primary ballot has added potential voter confusion. Minor candidates remain negligible factors in the current trader consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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