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Halalan·Halalan Sa US

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Market icon
Halalan·Halalan Sa US

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola 64%

Dan Sullivan 35%

Richard Grayson <1%

Dustin Darden <1%

Polymarket

$302,134 Vol.

Mary Peltola 64%

Dan Sullivan 35%

Richard Grayson <1%

Dustin Darden <1%

Polymarket

$302,134 Vol.

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? icon

Mary Peltola

$152,363 Vol.

64%

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? icon

Dan Sullivan

$83,374 Vol.

35%

Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? icon

Richard Grayson

$17,018 Vol.

<1%

Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? icon

Dustin Darden

$18,670 Vol.

<1%

Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? icon

Ann Diener

$30,709 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola leads trader consensus at 63.5% implied probability in the Alaska U.S. Senate race against incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan (34.5%), driven by a March Alaska Survey Research poll showing her ahead 52%-48% in the ranked-choice voting final round and a record Q1 fundraising haul of $8.9 million—quadrupling Sullivan's $2.1 million—announced April 14, signaling strong national Democratic backing despite his cash-on-hand advantage. Alaska's top-four nonpartisan primary on August 18 and RCV general election on November 3 favor Peltola's moderate appeal and prior House wins under the system, while minor candidates like Richard Grayson trail far behind amid her momentum. Recent polling trends and fundraising underscore the closely contested path-to-victory in this battleground matchup.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$302,134
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola leads trader consensus at 63.5% implied probability in the Alaska U.S. Senate race against incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan (34.5%), driven by a March Alaska Survey Research poll showing her ahead 52%-48% in the ranked-choice voting final round and a record Q1 fundraising haul of $8.9 million—quadrupling Sullivan's $2.1 million—announced April 14, signaling strong national Democratic backing despite his cash-on-hand advantage. Alaska's top-four nonpartisan primary on August 18 and RCV general election on November 3 favor Peltola's moderate appeal and prior House wins under the system, while minor candidates like Richard Grayson trail far behind amid her momentum. Recent polling trends and fundraising underscore the closely contested path-to-victory in this battleground matchup.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$302,134
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Alaska Senate Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Mary Peltola" sa 64%, sinusundan ng "Dan Sullivan" sa 35%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 64¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 64% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Alaska Senate Election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $302.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Oct 13, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Alaska Senate Election Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Alaska Senate Election Winner" ay "Mary Peltola" sa 64%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 64% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Dan Sullivan" sa 35%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Alaska Senate Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.