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Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska

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Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska

Bernadette Wilson 30%

Tom Begich 27%

Treg Taylor 12.4%

Nancy Dahlstrom 11.3%

Polymarket

$826,199 Vol.

Bernadette Wilson 30%

Tom Begich 27%

Treg Taylor 12.4%

Nancy Dahlstrom 11.3%

Polymarket

$826,199 Vol.

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Bernadette Wilson

$146,438 Vol.

30%

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Tom Begich

$103,129 Vol.

27%

Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Treg Taylor

$9,083 Vol.

12%

Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Nancy Dahlstrom

$108,967 Vol.

11%

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$3,875 Vol.

4%

Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

David Bronson

$6,606 Vol.

3%

Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Click Bishop

$5,920 Vol.

2%

Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Matt Claman

$3,694 Vol.

2%

Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Adam Crum

$34,881 Vol.

1%

Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Lisa Murkowski

$12,839 Vol.

<1%

Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Mary Peltola

$322,652 Vol.

<1%

Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Edna DeVries

$4,527 Vol.

<1%

Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Shelley Hughes

$7,129 Vol.

<1%

Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Hank Kroll

$1,932 Vol.

<1%

Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Matt Heilala

$26,264 Vol.

<1%

Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

James Parkin

$25,070 Vol.

<1%

Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Bruce Walden

$3,193 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race—featuring term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy—trader consensus gives Republican Bernadette Wilson a slim edge at 29.5% over Democrat Tom Begich at 26.5%, amid a crowded 18-candidate field for the August 18 top-four primary and November ranked-choice general election. A late-March Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showed Begich leading the primary at 19.4% to Wilson's 13.6%, with Republicans splitting votes among contenders like Dave Bronson and Matt Claman, but no dominant general election favorite due to RCV redistribution dynamics. Wilson's strong early fundraising exceeding $300,000 and conservative outsider appeal sustain her lead, while Cook Political Report's April 16 shift to Likely Republican underscores Dunleavy's low approval and Alaska's independent streak keeping the race competitive; endorsements, self-funding surges, or new polls ahead of the June 1 filing deadline could create separation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$826,199
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race—featuring term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy—trader consensus gives Republican Bernadette Wilson a slim edge at 29.5% over Democrat Tom Begich at 26.5%, amid a crowded 18-candidate field for the August 18 top-four primary and November ranked-choice general election. A late-March Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showed Begich leading the primary at 19.4% to Wilson's 13.6%, with Republicans splitting votes among contenders like Dave Bronson and Matt Claman, but no dominant general election favorite due to RCV redistribution dynamics. Wilson's strong early fundraising exceeding $300,000 and conservative outsider appeal sustain her lead, while Cook Political Report's April 16 shift to Likely Republican underscores Dunleavy's low approval and Alaska's independent streak keeping the race competitive; endorsements, self-funding surges, or new polls ahead of the June 1 filing deadline could create separation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$826,199
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska " ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 17 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Bernadette Wilson" sa 30%, sinusundan ng "Tom Begich" sa 27%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 30¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 30% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska " ay naka-generate ng $826.2K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Oct 13, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska ," i-browse ang 17 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska " ay "Bernadette Wilson" sa 30%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 30% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Tom Begich" sa 27%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska " ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.