In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race—featuring term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy—trader consensus gives Republican Bernadette Wilson a slim edge at 29.5% over Democrat Tom Begich at 26.5%, amid a crowded 18-candidate field for the August 18 top-four primary and November ranked-choice general election. A late-March Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showed Begich leading the primary at 19.4% to Wilson's 13.6%, with Republicans splitting votes among contenders like Dave Bronson and Matt Claman, but no dominant general election favorite due to RCV redistribution dynamics. Wilson's strong early fundraising exceeding $300,000 and conservative outsider appeal sustain her lead, while Cook Political Report's April 16 shift to Likely Republican underscores Dunleavy's low approval and Alaska's independent streak keeping the race competitive; endorsements, self-funding surges, or new polls ahead of the June 1 filing deadline could create separation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBernadette Wilson 30%
Tom Begich 27%
Treg Taylor 12.4%
Nancy Dahlstrom 11.3%
$826,199 Vol.
$826,199 Vol.

Bernadette Wilson
30%

Tom Begich
27%

Treg Taylor
12%

Nancy Dahlstrom
11%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%

David Bronson
3%

Click Bishop
2%

Matt Claman
2%

Adam Crum
1%

Lisa Murkowski
<1%

Mary Peltola
<1%

Edna DeVries
<1%

Shelley Hughes
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Matt Heilala
<1%

James Parkin
<1%

Bruce Walden
<1%
Bernadette Wilson 30%
Tom Begich 27%
Treg Taylor 12.4%
Nancy Dahlstrom 11.3%
$826,199 Vol.
$826,199 Vol.

Bernadette Wilson
30%

Tom Begich
27%

Treg Taylor
12%

Nancy Dahlstrom
11%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%

David Bronson
3%

Click Bishop
2%

Matt Claman
2%

Adam Crum
1%

Lisa Murkowski
<1%

Mary Peltola
<1%

Edna DeVries
<1%

Shelley Hughes
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Matt Heilala
<1%

James Parkin
<1%

Bruce Walden
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race—featuring term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy—trader consensus gives Republican Bernadette Wilson a slim edge at 29.5% over Democrat Tom Begich at 26.5%, amid a crowded 18-candidate field for the August 18 top-four primary and November ranked-choice general election. A late-March Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showed Begich leading the primary at 19.4% to Wilson's 13.6%, with Republicans splitting votes among contenders like Dave Bronson and Matt Claman, but no dominant general election favorite due to RCV redistribution dynamics. Wilson's strong early fundraising exceeding $300,000 and conservative outsider appeal sustain her lead, while Cook Political Report's April 16 shift to Likely Republican underscores Dunleavy's low approval and Alaska's independent streak keeping the race competitive; endorsements, self-funding surges, or new polls ahead of the June 1 filing deadline could create separation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong