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icon for Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska
Halalan·Alaska Midterm

Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska

icon for Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska
Halalan·Alaska Midterm

Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 65.5%

Bernadette Wilson 27%

Treg Taylor 3.0%

David Bronson 2.3%

Polymarket

$1,288,018 Vol.

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 65.5%

Bernadette Wilson 27%

Treg Taylor 3.0%

David Bronson 2.3%

Polymarket

$1,288,018 Vol.

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$39,868 Vol.

66%

icon for Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

$172,939 Vol.

27%

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$37,263 Vol.

3%

icon for David Bronson

David Bronson

$23,824 Vol.

2%

icon for Tom Begich

Tom Begich

$159,444 Vol.

1%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$29,660 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Heilala

Matt Heilala

$40,884 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edna DeVries

Edna DeVries

$28,452 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lisa Murkowski

Lisa Murkowski

$27,469 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Claman

Matt Claman

$20,619 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bill Walker

Bill Walker

$9,284 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

$129,839 Vol.

<1%

icon for Shelley Hughes

Shelley Hughes

$16,293 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Crum

Adam Crum

$51,172 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Parkin

James Parkin

$116,582 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$338,242 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hank Kroll

Hank Kroll

$19,448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bruce Walden

Bruce Walden

$12,144 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lesil McGuire

Lesil McGuire

$5,541 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gregg Brelsford

Gregg Brelsford

$2,936 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jessica Faircloth

Jessica Faircloth

$3,288 Vol.

<1%

icon for Destry J. Payne Sr.

Destry J. Payne Sr.

$2,828 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads trader pricing after topping the August 18 top-four primary with 22.5% and consolidating Democratic support when Tom Begich withdrew days later and endorsed him. The resulting November 3 general election features ranked-choice voting among Kreiss-Tomkins, Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Treg Taylor, an open-seat contest after term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy. Wilson placed third in the primary at 10% amid a fragmented Republican field that split nearly half the primary vote across a dozen candidates. Recent financial disclosure reviews and certification questions for several Republican contenders, including Taylor, have introduced minor volatility but have not shifted the overall positioning. Traders appear to price in Kreiss-Tomkins’ advantages in building cross-party second preferences in Alaska’s RCV system and the structural headwinds facing a divided Republican ticket.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$1,288,018
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads trader pricing after topping the August 18 top-four primary with 22.5% and consolidating Democratic support when Tom Begich withdrew days later and endorsed him. The resulting November 3 general election features ranked-choice voting among Kreiss-Tomkins, Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Treg Taylor, an open-seat contest after term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy. Wilson placed third in the primary at 10% amid a fragmented Republican field that split nearly half the primary vote across a dozen candidates. Recent financial disclosure reviews and certification questions for several Republican contenders, including Taylor, have introduced minor volatility but have not shifted the overall positioning. Traders appear to price in Kreiss-Tomkins’ advantages in building cross-party second preferences in Alaska’s RCV system and the structural headwinds facing a divided Republican ticket.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$1,288,018
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Kaugnay

icon for Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

66%
icon for Mananalo ba si Xavier Becerra sa Eleksyon ng Gobernador ng California sa 2026?

Mananalo ba si Xavier Becerra sa Eleksyon ng Gobernador ng California sa 2026?

95%
Oo
icon for Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

52%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 22 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins" sa 66%, sinusundan ng "Bernadette Wilson" sa 27%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 66¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 66% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska" ay naka-generate ng $1.3 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Oct 13, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska," i-browse ang 22 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska" ay "Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins" sa 66%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 66% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Bernadette Wilson" sa 27%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.