Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s long tenure and the district’s consistent Democratic lean in the Seattle suburbs anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The August 4 top-two primary reinforced this positioning, with Smith advancing comfortably ahead of Republican Doug Basler. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the district’s voting patterns. While a major scandal, health development, or national political realignment could theoretically alter the trajectory, historical base rates and the absence of competitive polling indicate few near-term catalysts capable of shifting the implied probability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWA-09 House Election Winner
WA-09 House Election Winner
$31,145 Vol.
$31,145 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$31,145 Vol.
$31,145 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,539 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$19,606 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s long tenure and the district’s consistent Democratic lean in the Seattle suburbs anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The August 4 top-two primary reinforced this positioning, with Smith advancing comfortably ahead of Republican Doug Basler. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the district’s voting patterns. While a major scandal, health development, or national political realignment could theoretically alter the trajectory, historical base rates and the absence of competitive polling indicate few near-term catalysts capable of shifting the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$31,145Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s long tenure and the district’s consistent Democratic lean in the Seattle suburbs anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The August 4 top-two primary reinforced this positioning, with Smith advancing comfortably ahead of Republican Doug Basler. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the district’s voting patterns. While a major scandal, health development, or national political realignment could theoretically alter the trajectory, historical base rates and the absence of competitive polling indicate few near-term catalysts capable of shifting the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,145Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s long tenure and the district’s consistent Democratic lean in the Seattle suburbs anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The August 4 top-two primary reinforced this positioning, with Smith advancing comfortably ahead of Republican Doug Basler. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the district’s voting patterns. While a major scandal, health development, or national political realignment could theoretically alter the trajectory, historical base rates and the absence of competitive polling indicate few near-term catalysts capable of shifting the implied probability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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