Incumbent Kim Schrier holds a commanding lead in Washington's 8th Congressional District race, consistent with Solid Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. Schrier advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 54% of the vote and has raised nearly $3 million, far outpacing Republican Spencer Meline, who secured second place with about 16% and limited fundraising. The district's D+3 partisan voting index and Schrier's prior general election victories reflect its suburban lean toward Democrats. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, resource disparity, and limited Republican opposition. A late national shift, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability given current indicators.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$22,656 Vol.
$22,656 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Kim Schrier (D)
98%
Spencer Meline (R)
1%
$22,656 Vol.
$22,656 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Kim Schrier (D)
$9,508 Vol.
98%
Spencer Meline (R)
$13,148 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Kim Schrier holds a commanding lead in Washington's 8th Congressional District race, consistent with Solid Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. Schrier advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 54% of the vote and has raised nearly $3 million, far outpacing Republican Spencer Meline, who secured second place with about 16% and limited fundraising. The district's D+3 partisan voting index and Schrier's prior general election victories reflect its suburban lean toward Democrats. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, resource disparity, and limited Republican opposition. A late national shift, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability given current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$22,656Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Kim Schrier holds a commanding lead in Washington's 8th Congressional District race, consistent with Solid Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. Schrier advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 54% of the vote and has raised nearly $3 million, far outpacing Republican Spencer Meline, who secured second place with about 16% and limited fundraising. The district's D+3 partisan voting index and Schrier's prior general election victories reflect its suburban lean toward Democrats. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, resource disparity, and limited Republican opposition. A late national shift, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability given current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,656Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Kim Schrier holds a commanding lead in Washington's 8th Congressional District race, consistent with Solid Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. Schrier advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 54% of the vote and has raised nearly $3 million, far outpacing Republican Spencer Meline, who secured second place with about 16% and limited fundraising. The district's D+3 partisan voting index and Schrier's prior general election victories reflect its suburban lean toward Democrats. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, resource disparity, and limited Republican opposition. A late national shift, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability given current indicators.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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