Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open seat following term limits on the incumbent Republican governor, with major forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. Republican primary polling shows U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds consolidating support at the top of the field, aided by an early fundraising edge and a presidential endorsement, while Democratic primary voters remain more fragmented between leading contenders. General election surveys from spring 2026 indicate Republican nominees ahead of Democratic opponents by margins of roughly five to nine points among likely voters, consistent with the state's recent statewide voting patterns and Republican control of legislative and executive offices. These factors underpin trader consensus around an elevated Republican probability ahead of the August primaries and November general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$21,189 Vol.
$21,189 Vol.

Republican
79%

Democrat
22%
$21,189 Vol.
$21,189 Vol.

Republican
79%

Democrat
22%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open seat following term limits on the incumbent Republican governor, with major forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. Republican primary polling shows U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds consolidating support at the top of the field, aided by an early fundraising edge and a presidential endorsement, while Democratic primary voters remain more fragmented between leading contenders. General election surveys from spring 2026 indicate Republican nominees ahead of Democratic opponents by margins of roughly five to nine points among likely voters, consistent with the state's recent statewide voting patterns and Republican control of legislative and executive offices. These factors underpin trader consensus around an elevated Republican probability ahead of the August primaries and November general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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