Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican victory in the open-seat Florida gubernatorial race at 72.5%, driven by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds' commanding lead in the GOP primary, capturing 46% in the April 2 Emerson College poll—more than double his nearest rival—bolstered by a Trump endorsement and record Q1 fundraising of $22.4 million, dwarfing competitors like Lt. Gov. Jay Collins. Republicans hold a voter registration advantage in the battleground state, which has trended rightward, while recent Democratic-aligned surveys showing tight hypotheticals like Donalds 41%-Jolly 40% (MDW/Edge, early April) have not shifted odds amid primary consolidation expected ahead of the August primaries and November 3 general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$14,214 Vol.
$14,214 Vol.

Republican
73%

Democrat
26%
$14,214 Vol.
$14,214 Vol.

Republican
73%

Democrat
26%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican victory in the open-seat Florida gubernatorial race at 72.5%, driven by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds' commanding lead in the GOP primary, capturing 46% in the April 2 Emerson College poll—more than double his nearest rival—bolstered by a Trump endorsement and record Q1 fundraising of $22.4 million, dwarfing competitors like Lt. Gov. Jay Collins. Republicans hold a voter registration advantage in the battleground state, which has trended rightward, while recent Democratic-aligned surveys showing tight hypotheticals like Donalds 41%-Jolly 40% (MDW/Edge, early April) have not shifted odds amid primary consolidation expected ahead of the August primaries and November 3 general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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