Skip to main content
Market icon
Halalan·Halalan Sa US

Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng California

Market icon
Halalan·Halalan Sa US

Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng California

Tom Steyer 58.9%

Xavier Becerra 17.5%

Matt Mahan 9%

Katie Porter 4.8%

Polymarket

$11,026,410 Vol.

Tom Steyer 58.9%

Xavier Becerra 17.5%

Matt Mahan 9%

Katie Porter 4.8%

Polymarket

$11,026,410 Vol.

Tom Steyer

$2,926,562 Vol.

59%

Xavier Becerra

$509,622 Vol.

18%

Matt Mahan

$300,779 Vol.

9%

Katie Porter

$754,501 Vol.

5%

Steve Hilton

$922,205 Vol.

5%

Chad Bianco

$842,023 Vol.

3%

Kamala Harris

$294,542 Vol.

1%

Betty Yee

$239,207 Vol.

<1%

Elaine Culotti

$161,835 Vol.

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$178,445 Vol.

<1%

Rick Caruso

$355,133 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Cloobeck

$217,644 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Langford

$587,865 Vol.

<1%

Eleni Kounalakis

$392,850 Vol.

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$216,490 Vol.

<1%

Leo Zacky

$246,731 Vol.

<1%

Eric Swalwell

$279,009 Vol.

<1%

Alex Padilla

$299,305 Vol.

<1%

Butch Ware

$255,083 Vol.

<1%

Toni Atkins

$237,098 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$260,670 Vol.

<1%

Michael Younger

$303,412 Vol.

<1%

Nicole Shanahan

$245,682 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors billionaire Democrat Tom Steyer at 58.9% to win the 2026 California gubernatorial election, reflecting his surge in recent polls following Rep. Eric Swalwell's April 11 campaign suspension amid misconduct allegations. The Emerson College poll (April 14-15) shows Steyer at 14% overall—tied for third behind Republicans Steve Hilton (17%) and Chad Bianco (14%)—but leading Democrats at 20%, boosted by self-funding on top voter concerns like the economy (41%) and housing. Xavier Becerra (17.5% odds) gained 15 points among Democrats post-Swalwell, leveraging his ex-attorney general experience. In California's top-two primary on June 2, fragmentation risks two Republicans advancing despite Trump's Hilton endorsement, yet traders price a Steyer-led Democratic runoff victory in deep-blue state on November 3. Matt Mahan (8.5%) and Katie Porter (4.8%) trail amid undecideds at 23%; upcoming April 22 debate looms.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$11,026,410
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors billionaire Democrat Tom Steyer at 58.9% to win the 2026 California gubernatorial election, reflecting his surge in recent polls following Rep. Eric Swalwell's April 11 campaign suspension amid misconduct allegations. The Emerson College poll (April 14-15) shows Steyer at 14% overall—tied for third behind Republicans Steve Hilton (17%) and Chad Bianco (14%)—but leading Democrats at 20%, boosted by self-funding on top voter concerns like the economy (41%) and housing. Xavier Becerra (17.5% odds) gained 15 points among Democrats post-Swalwell, leveraging his ex-attorney general experience. In California's top-two primary on June 2, fragmentation risks two Republicans advancing despite Trump's Hilton endorsement, yet traders price a Steyer-led Democratic runoff victory in deep-blue state on November 3. Matt Mahan (8.5%) and Katie Porter (4.8%) trail amid undecideds at 23%; upcoming April 22 debate looms.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$11,026,410
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng California" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 23 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Tom Steyer" sa 59%, sinusundan ng "Xavier Becerra" sa 18%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 59¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 59% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng California" ay naka-generate ng $11 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Oct 9, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng California," i-browse ang 23 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng California" ay "Tom Steyer" sa 59%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 59% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Xavier Becerra" sa 18%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng California" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.