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Halalan·Halalan Sa US

Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng California

icon for Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng California
Halalan·Halalan Sa US

Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng California

Xavier Becerra 95.2%

Steve Hilton 4.8%

Tom Steyer <1%

Rick Caruso <1%

Polymarket

$40,863,974 Vol.

Xavier Becerra 95.2%

Steve Hilton 4.8%

Tom Steyer <1%

Rick Caruso <1%

Polymarket

$40,863,974 Vol.

Xavier Becerra

$1,859,564 Vol.

95%

Steve Hilton

$2,696,146 Vol.

5%

Tom Steyer

$4,789,129 Vol.

<1%

Rick Caruso

$1,797,391 Vol.

<1%

Katie Porter

$1,770,116 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Cloobeck

$1,572,637 Vol.

<1%

Betty Yee

$1,748,031 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Langford

$1,828,759 Vol.

<1%

Eleni Kounalakis

$1,431,189 Vol.

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$1,425,614 Vol.

<1%

Leo Zacky

$1,094,831 Vol.

<1%

Eric Swalwell

$1,497,145 Vol.

<1%

Kamala Harris

$1,567,125 Vol.

<1%

Elaine Culotti

$1,262,294 Vol.

<1%

Alex Padilla

$1,996,501 Vol.

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$1,617,980 Vol.

<1%

Butch Ware

$1,313,394 Vol.

<1%

Toni Atkins

$1,557,569 Vol.

<1%

Chad Bianco

$1,947,060 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$1,396,558 Vol.

<1%

Michael Younger

$1,546,580 Vol.

<1%

Nicole Shanahan

$1,778,283 Vol.

<1%

Matt Mahan

$1,370,078 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Xavier Becerra holds a commanding position in the 2026 California gubernatorial race following his advancement alongside Republican Steve Hilton from the June top-two primary, where Becerra captured roughly 28% and Hilton about 25% amid a crowded Democratic field. The Democratic nominee’s lead stems from California’s substantial partisan registration edge, consistent polling margins of 15–25 points or more, and broad establishment backing after Eric Swalwell’s withdrawal. Historical patterns show no Republican governor since 2011, and forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Traders price in low odds of an upset given these structural factors, though late developments such as major polling shifts, turnout anomalies, or unforeseen campaign events before the November 3 general election could narrow the gap.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$40,863,974
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Xavier Becerra holds a commanding position in the 2026 California gubernatorial race following his advancement alongside Republican Steve Hilton from the June top-two primary, where Becerra captured roughly 28% and Hilton about 25% amid a crowded Democratic field. The Democratic nominee’s lead stems from California’s substantial partisan registration edge, consistent polling margins of 15–25 points or more, and broad establishment backing after Eric Swalwell’s withdrawal. Historical patterns show no Republican governor since 2011, and forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Traders price in low odds of an upset given these structural factors, though late developments such as major polling shifts, turnout anomalies, or unforeseen campaign events before the November 3 general election could narrow the gap.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$40,863,974
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Kaugnay

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Mananalo ba si Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins sa 2026 halalan para gobernador ng Alaska?

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng California" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 23 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Xavier Becerra" sa 95%, sinusundan ng "Steve Hilton" sa 5%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 95¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 95% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng California" ay naka-generate ng $40.9 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Oct 9, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng California," i-browse ang 23 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng California" ay "Xavier Becerra" sa 95%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 95% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Steve Hilton" sa 5%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng California" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.