Recent polling averages show multiple Republican-held Senate seats in Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas remaining within a few points of Democratic challengers, reflecting a national environment where generic ballot leads and state-level surveys have kept these contests competitive. Trader attention centers on these battlegrounds because late-cycle shifts in turnout, candidate positioning, and any October developments could determine which races finish inside the 5% margin. With the November 3 election six weeks away, upcoming factors include final debate performances, advertising volume in toss-ups, and any movement in President Trump’s approval ratings that historically influence midterm Senate outcomes. Structural elements such as open seats in North Carolina and Michigan add further uncertainty to the map.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$71,685 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
76%
Iowa
69%
Michigan
63%
Kansas
60%
Maine
58%
New Hampshire
54%
Alaska
52%
Nebraska
52%
Ohio (Special)
47%
South Carolina
42%
North Carolina
31%
Minnesota
26%
Georgia
24%
Florida (Special)
18%
New Mexico
12%
Montana
11%
Virginia
5%
Colorado
4%
$71,685 Vol.
Texas
$8,208 Vol.
76%
Iowa
$5,918 Vol.
69%
Michigan
$3,187 Vol.
63%
Kansas
$773 Vol.
60%
Maine
$1,119 Vol.
58%
New Hampshire
$2,448 Vol.
54%
Alaska
$3,340 Vol.
52%
Nebraska
$4,084 Vol.
52%
Ohio (Special)
$4,695 Vol.
47%
South Carolina
$157 Vol.
42%
North Carolina
$6,301 Vol.
31%
Minnesota
$10,833 Vol.
26%
Georgia
$3,097 Vol.
24%
Florida (Special)
$3,140 Vol.
18%
New Mexico
$7,010 Vol.
12%
Montana
$3,210 Vol.
11%
Virginia
$1,538 Vol.
5%
Colorado
$2,625 Vol.
4%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling averages show multiple Republican-held Senate seats in Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas remaining within a few points of Democratic challengers, reflecting a national environment where generic ballot leads and state-level surveys have kept these contests competitive. Trader attention centers on these battlegrounds because late-cycle shifts in turnout, candidate positioning, and any October developments could determine which races finish inside the 5% margin. With the November 3 election six weeks away, upcoming factors include final debate performances, advertising volume in toss-ups, and any movement in President Trump’s approval ratings that historically influence midterm Senate outcomes. Structural elements such as open seats in North Carolina and Michigan add further uncertainty to the map.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volume
$71,685Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling averages show multiple Republican-held Senate seats in Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas remaining within a few points of Democratic challengers, reflecting a national environment where generic ballot leads and state-level surveys have kept these contests competitive. Trader attention centers on these battlegrounds because late-cycle shifts in turnout, candidate positioning, and any October developments could determine which races finish inside the 5% margin. With the November 3 election six weeks away, upcoming factors include final debate performances, advertising volume in toss-ups, and any movement in President Trump’s approval ratings that historically influence midterm Senate outcomes. Structural elements such as open seats in North Carolina and Michigan add further uncertainty to the map.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$71,685Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...Recent polling averages show multiple Republican-held Senate seats in Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas remaining within a few points of Democratic challengers, reflecting a national environment where generic ballot leads and state-level surveys have kept these contests competitive. Trader attention centers on these battlegrounds because late-cycle shifts in turnout, candidate positioning, and any October developments could determine which races finish inside the 5% margin. With the November 3 election six weeks away, upcoming factors include final debate performances, advertising volume in toss-ups, and any movement in President Trump’s approval ratings that historically influence midterm Senate outcomes. Structural elements such as open seats in North Carolina and Michigan add further uncertainty to the map.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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