Multiple Republican-held Senate seats are polling within a few points in September 2026 averages amid a Democratic-leaning national generic ballot, producing a wide-open field for the closest 2026 margin. Texas, Iowa, the Ohio special, Alaska, and Maine lead trader consensus because recent surveys show sub-three-point spreads or nominal Democratic edges in open or vulnerable seats, with nominees like James Talarico, Josh Turek, Sherrod Brown, Mary Peltola, and Troy Jackson facing established Republicans. Key differentiators include open-seat dynamics, ranked-choice voting in Alaska, and state-level turnout patterns that could produce the narrowest final tally. Late-cycle polling releases, candidate debates, or national shifts could consolidate volume behind one outcome by tightening or widening specific margins relative to the field.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateTexas 15%
Iowa 13.8%
Ohio (Special) 11.0%
Alaska 10%
$49,510 Vol.
$49,510 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Texas
15%
Iowa
14%
Ohio (Special)
11%
Alaska
10%
Maine
9%
Nebraska
9%
Michigan
5%
Florida (Special)
4%
New Hampshire
3%
Virginia
2%
Montana
2%
Georgia
2%
New Mexico
2%
North Carolina
1%
Minnesota
1%
Colorado
<1%
Texas 15%
Iowa 13.8%
Ohio (Special) 11.0%
Alaska 10%
$49,510 Vol.
$49,510 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Texas
$2,375 Vol.
15%
Iowa
$3,434 Vol.
14%
Ohio (Special)
$9,206 Vol.
11%
Alaska
$8,468 Vol.
10%
Maine
$2,149 Vol.
9%
Nebraska
$3,609 Vol.
9%
Michigan
$7,096 Vol.
5%
Florida (Special)
$410 Vol.
4%
New Hampshire
$806 Vol.
3%
Virginia
$5,076 Vol.
2%
Montana
$1,653 Vol.
2%
Georgia
$824 Vol.
2%
New Mexico
$160 Vol.
2%
North Carolina
$1,557 Vol.
1%
Minnesota
$1,569 Vol.
1%
Colorado
$1,117 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple Republican-held Senate seats are polling within a few points in September 2026 averages amid a Democratic-leaning national generic ballot, producing a wide-open field for the closest 2026 margin. Texas, Iowa, the Ohio special, Alaska, and Maine lead trader consensus because recent surveys show sub-three-point spreads or nominal Democratic edges in open or vulnerable seats, with nominees like James Talarico, Josh Turek, Sherrod Brown, Mary Peltola, and Troy Jackson facing established Republicans. Key differentiators include open-seat dynamics, ranked-choice voting in Alaska, and state-level turnout patterns that could produce the narrowest final tally. Late-cycle polling releases, candidate debates, or national shifts could consolidate volume behind one outcome by tightening or widening specific margins relative to the field.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Volume
$49,510Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple Republican-held Senate seats are polling within a few points in September 2026 averages amid a Democratic-leaning national generic ballot, producing a wide-open field for the closest 2026 margin. Texas, Iowa, the Ohio special, Alaska, and Maine lead trader consensus because recent surveys show sub-three-point spreads or nominal Democratic edges in open or vulnerable seats, with nominees like James Talarico, Josh Turek, Sherrod Brown, Mary Peltola, and Troy Jackson facing established Republicans. Key differentiators include open-seat dynamics, ranked-choice voting in Alaska, and state-level turnout patterns that could produce the narrowest final tally. Late-cycle polling releases, candidate debates, or national shifts could consolidate volume behind one outcome by tightening or widening specific margins relative to the field.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$49,510Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple Republican-held Senate seats are polling within a few points in September 2026 averages amid a Democratic-leaning national generic ballot, producing a wide-open field for the closest 2026 margin. Texas, Iowa, the Ohio special, Alaska, and Maine lead trader consensus because recent surveys show sub-three-point spreads or nominal Democratic edges in open or vulnerable seats, with nominees like James Talarico, Josh Turek, Sherrod Brown, Mary Peltola, and Troy Jackson facing established Republicans. Key differentiators include open-seat dynamics, ranked-choice voting in Alaska, and state-level turnout patterns that could produce the narrowest final tally. Late-cycle polling releases, candidate debates, or national shifts could consolidate volume behind one outcome by tightening or widening specific margins relative to the field.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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