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Politika·Canada

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Politika·Canada

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow 90%

Brad Bradford 5%

John Tory <1%

Marco Mendicino <1%

Polymarket

$148,409 Vol.

Olivia Chow 90%

Brad Bradford 5%

John Tory <1%

Marco Mendicino <1%

Polymarket

$148,409 Vol.

icon for Olivia Chow

Olivia Chow

$39,308 Vol.

90%

icon for Brad Bradford

Brad Bradford

$39,158 Vol.

5%

icon for John Tory

John Tory

$12,442 Vol.

1%

icon for Marco Mendicino

Marco Mendicino

$16,124 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ana Bailão

Ana Bailão

$11,359 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael Ford

Michael Ford

$11,987 Vol.

<1%

icon for Anthony Furey

Anthony Furey

$8,849 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kevin Clarke

Kevin Clarke

$9,182 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Olivia Chow holds a commanding lead in the October 26 Toronto mayoral election, with recent Liaison Strategies polling showing her at 50% support among decided and leaning voters compared to 39% for main challenger Brad Bradford and 10% for Chris Alexander. Her position reflects the advantages of incumbency after winning the 2023 by-election, stable approval ratings near 50%, and a campaign launch emphasizing housing construction, TTC affordability, and public services. Earlier summer polls indicated a tighter race, but Bradford's momentum has stalled while voter concerns over property taxes and city direction have not shifted the ballot decisively. Minor candidates, including former mayor John Tory, register negligible support in current surveys. Upcoming debates and final polling before election day remain the primary scheduled events that could influence remaining undecided voters.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volume
$148,409
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 26, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Olivia Chow holds a commanding lead in the October 26 Toronto mayoral election, with recent Liaison Strategies polling showing her at 50% support among decided and leaning voters compared to 39% for main challenger Brad Bradford and 10% for Chris Alexander. Her position reflects the advantages of incumbency after winning the 2023 by-election, stable approval ratings near 50%, and a campaign launch emphasizing housing construction, TTC affordability, and public services. Earlier summer polls indicated a tighter race, but Bradford's momentum has stalled while voter concerns over property taxes and city direction have not shifted the ballot decisively. Minor candidates, including former mayor John Tory, register negligible support in current surveys. Upcoming debates and final polling before election day remain the primary scheduled events that could influence remaining undecided voters.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volume
$148,409
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 26, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 8 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Olivia Chow" sa 90%, sinusundan ng "Brad Bradford" sa 5%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 90¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 90% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $148.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 1, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner," i-browse ang 8 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" ay "Olivia Chow" sa 90%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 90% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Brad Bradford" sa 5%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.