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icon for French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place
Halalan·France

French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

icon for French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place
Halalan·France

French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

Olivier Faure 38%

Philippe Brun 27%

Ségolène Royal 24%

Raphaël Glucksmann 21%

Polymarket
BAGO

Olivier Faure 38%

Philippe Brun 27%

Ségolène Royal 24%

Raphaël Glucksmann 21%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$20 Vol.

38%

icon for Philippe Brun

Philippe Brun

$20 Vol.

27%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$20 Vol.

24%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$20 Vol.

21%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$38 Vol.

25%

icon for Emmanuel Maurel

Emmanuel Maurel

$107 Vol.

16%

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The upcoming October 9-10 first round of the French Socialist and Place Publique primary features a fragmented field of declared candidates, including Olivier Faure, Raphaël Glucksmann, Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, and Emmanuel Maurel, following candidate declarations and procedural agreements in late August and early September. Glucksmann's stronger positioning in broader presidential polling and Faure's institutional role as PS first secretary create uncertainty over second place, while Brun's wage-focused campaign and Royal's profile add further dispersion. Recent internal debates over participation rules and debate formats have not produced decisive shifts, sustaining trader consensus around evenly matched probabilities for multiple contenders in the electronic vote.

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.

This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.

If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Volume
$225
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 10, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The upcoming October 9-10 first round of the French Socialist and Place Publique primary features a fragmented field of declared candidates, including Olivier Faure, Raphaël Glucksmann, Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, and Emmanuel Maurel, following candidate declarations and procedural agreements in late August and early September. Glucksmann's stronger positioning in broader presidential polling and Faure's institutional role as PS first secretary create uncertainty over second place, while Brun's wage-focused campaign and Royal's profile add further dispersion. Recent internal debates over participation rules and debate formats have not produced decisive shifts, sustaining trader consensus around evenly matched probabilities for multiple contenders in the electronic vote.

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.

This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.

If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Volume
$225
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 10, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

icon for Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?

54%
icon for Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

56%
icon for Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?

Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?

65%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Olivier Faure" sa 38%, sinusundan ng "Philippe Brun" sa 27%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 38¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 38% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 9, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place" ay "Olivier Faure" sa 38%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 38% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Philippe Brun" sa 27%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.