Recent polls indicate the Parti Québécois holds a narrow lead or tie in popular vote with the Quebec Liberal Party ahead of the October 2026 election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has recovered ground under its new leader. The PQ's stronger support among Francophone voters and the first-past-the-post electoral system position it to secure a majority of seats in most projections, supporting its elevated market position. The CAQ's polling gains reflect leadership stabilization after the prior premier's resignation, though it trails in seat forecasts. The close popular vote contest between the PQ and PLQ keeps the outcome sensitive to shifts in regional turnout and voter consolidation over the coming months.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec
PQ 57%
PLQ 28%
CAQ 17%
PCQ <1%
$544,531 Vol.
$544,531 Vol.

PQ
57%

PLQ
28%

CAQ
17%

PCQ
<1%

QS
<1%

PVQ
<1%
PQ 57%
PLQ 28%
CAQ 17%
PCQ <1%
$544,531 Vol.
$544,531 Vol.

PQ
57%

PLQ
28%

CAQ
17%

PCQ
<1%

QS
<1%

PVQ
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls indicate the Parti Québécois holds a narrow lead or tie in popular vote with the Quebec Liberal Party ahead of the October 2026 election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has recovered ground under its new leader. The PQ's stronger support among Francophone voters and the first-past-the-post electoral system position it to secure a majority of seats in most projections, supporting its elevated market position. The CAQ's polling gains reflect leadership stabilization after the prior premier's resignation, though it trails in seat forecasts. The close popular vote contest between the PQ and PLQ keeps the outcome sensitive to shifts in regional turnout and voter consolidation over the coming months.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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