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Nagwagi ng Presidential Election sa Peru

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Nagwagi ng Presidential Election sa Peru

Keiko Fujimori 66%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 23.1%

Rafael López Aliaga 10%

Jorge Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$35,338,405 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori 66%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 23.1%

Rafael López Aliaga 10%

Jorge Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$35,338,405 Vol.

Mananalo ba si Keiko Fujimori sa 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Keiko Fujimori

$4,632,265 Vol.

66%

Mananalo ba si Roberto Sánchez Palomino sa 2026 pambansang halalan sa pagkapangulo ng Peru? icon

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$6,920,707 Vol.

23%

Mananalo ba si Rafael López Aliaga sa 2026 halalan sa pagkapangulo ng Peru? icon

Rafael López Aliaga

$7,200,146 Vol.

10%

Mananalo ba si Jorge Nieto sa halalan ng pagkapangulo ng Peru sa 2026? icon

Jorge Nieto

$4,346,804 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si Carlos Álvarez sa 2026 na halalan sa pagkapangulo ng Peru? icon

Carlos Álvarez

$1,847,655 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si César Acuña sa halalang pampanguluhan ng Peru sa 2026? icon

César Acuña

$629,867 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si Vladimir Cerrón sa 2026 na halalang pampangulo ng Peru? icon

Vladimir Cerrón

$246,132 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si Roberto Chiabra sa 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Roberto Chiabra

$127,420 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si Enrique Valderrama sa halalan ng pagkapangulo ng Peru sa 2026? icon

Enrique Valderrama

$240,856 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si Mesías Guevara sa 2026 halalan sa pagkapangulo ng Peru? icon

Mesías Guevara

$319,101 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si Mario Vizcarra sa halalang pampanguluhan ng Peru sa 2026? icon

Mario Vizcarra

$193,887 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si José Luna sa 2026 na halalan sa pagkapangulo ng Peru? icon

José Luna

$361,828 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si José Williams sa 2026 halalan sa pagkapangulo ng Peru? icon

José Williams

$132,964 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si Fiorella Molinelli sa 2026 na halalang pampanguluhan sa Peru? icon

Fiorella Molinelli

$155,433 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si Fernando Olivera sa 2026 na halalan sa pagkapangulo ng Peru? icon

Fernando Olivera

$438,406 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si Yonhy Lescano sa 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Yonhy Lescano

$430,734 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si Alfonso López Chau sa 2026 na halalan sa pagkapangulo ng Peru? icon

Alfonso López Chau

$1,221,749 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si George Forsyth sa halalan ng pagkapangulo ng Peru sa 2026? icon

George Forsyth

$271,278 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si Ricardo Belmont sa 2026 na halalan sa pagkapangulo ng Peru? icon

Ricardo Belmont

$3,423,665 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si Carlos Espá sa halalan ng pagkapangulo ng Peru sa 2026? icon

Carlos Espá

$681,791 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si Rafael Belaúnde Llosa sa halalan ng pagkapangulo ng Peru sa 2026? icon

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$214,613 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si Marisol Pérez Tello sa 2026 Pampanguluhang halalan sa Peru? icon

Marisol Pérez Tello

$633,641 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba si Wolfgang Grozo sa halalan ng pagkapangulo ng Peru sa 2026? icon

Wolfgang Grozo

$668,138 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori leads Polymarket trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability to win Peru's presidency following her 17% first-round victory on April 12-13, advancing to the June 7 runoff against leftist Roberto Sánchez Palomino's 12%, amid logistical delays and fraud allegations from third-place Rafael López Aliaga (12%). Pre-election polls consistently showed Fujimori atop fragmented fields of 35 candidates, bolstered by her Fuerza Popular party's strength and history of close contests in 2016 and 2021. Sánchez surged via rural support, but traders anticipate right-center vote consolidation against him given ongoing instability from multiple impeachments. López Aliaga's 9.5% reflects protest momentum and potential legal challenges, though observers found no irregularities.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$35,338,405
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 7, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori leads Polymarket trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability to win Peru's presidency following her 17% first-round victory on April 12-13, advancing to the June 7 runoff against leftist Roberto Sánchez Palomino's 12%, amid logistical delays and fraud allegations from third-place Rafael López Aliaga (12%). Pre-election polls consistently showed Fujimori atop fragmented fields of 35 candidates, bolstered by her Fuerza Popular party's strength and history of close contests in 2016 and 2021. Sánchez surged via rural support, but traders anticipate right-center vote consolidation against him given ongoing instability from multiple impeachments. López Aliaga's 9.5% reflects protest momentum and potential legal challenges, though observers found no irregularities.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$35,338,405
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 7, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Nagwagi ng Presidential Election sa Peru" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 23 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Keiko Fujimori" sa 66%, sinusundan ng "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" sa 23%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 66¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 66% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Nagwagi ng Presidential Election sa Peru" ay naka-generate ng $35.3 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 16, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Nagwagi ng Presidential Election sa Peru," i-browse ang 23 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Nagwagi ng Presidential Election sa Peru" ay "Keiko Fujimori" sa 66%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 66% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" sa 23%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Nagwagi ng Presidential Election sa Peru" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.