Keiko Fujimori leads Polymarket trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability to win Peru's presidency following her 17% first-round victory on April 12-13, advancing to the June 7 runoff against leftist Roberto Sánchez Palomino's 12%, amid logistical delays and fraud allegations from third-place Rafael López Aliaga (12%). Pre-election polls consistently showed Fujimori atop fragmented fields of 35 candidates, bolstered by her Fuerza Popular party's strength and history of close contests in 2016 and 2021. Sánchez surged via rural support, but traders anticipate right-center vote consolidation against him given ongoing instability from multiple impeachments. López Aliaga's 9.5% reflects protest momentum and potential legal challenges, though observers found no irregularities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNagwagi ng Presidential Election sa Peru
Nagwagi ng Presidential Election sa Peru
Keiko Fujimori 66%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 23.1%
Rafael López Aliaga 10%
Jorge Nieto <1%
$35,338,405 Vol.
$35,338,405 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
66%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
23%

Rafael López Aliaga
10%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 66%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 23.1%
Rafael López Aliaga 10%
Jorge Nieto <1%
$35,338,405 Vol.
$35,338,405 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
66%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
23%

Rafael López Aliaga
10%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keiko Fujimori leads Polymarket trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability to win Peru's presidency following her 17% first-round victory on April 12-13, advancing to the June 7 runoff against leftist Roberto Sánchez Palomino's 12%, amid logistical delays and fraud allegations from third-place Rafael López Aliaga (12%). Pre-election polls consistently showed Fujimori atop fragmented fields of 35 candidates, bolstered by her Fuerza Popular party's strength and history of close contests in 2016 and 2021. Sánchez surged via rural support, but traders anticipate right-center vote consolidation against him given ongoing instability from multiple impeachments. López Aliaga's 9.5% reflects protest momentum and potential legal challenges, though observers found no irregularities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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