Hana Ghassan (MDB), the current governor of Pará who assumed the role after her predecessor's resignation, holds the leading position in trader pricing for the 2026 election at 57.5%. Recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys from late July and early August show her in a technical tie with main challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), the former mayor of Ananindeua who stepped down to run, with both candidates in the low-to-mid 20s or low 30s in first-round scenarios and nearly even in runoff hypotheticals amid high undecided shares exceeding 60%. Multiple other declared candidates including Éder Mauro, Paulo Rocha, Dirceu Ten Caten, Rogério Barra, and Zequinha Marinho register minimal support, keeping the field fragmented. The tight contest reflects incumbency dynamics, limited name recognition shifts, and the absence of decisive late momentum or major endorsements that could separate the frontrunners ahead of the October vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updatePará Governor Election Winner
Pará Governor Election Winner
Hana Ghassan 58%
Dr. Daniel Santos 40%
Paulo Rocha 2.6%
Éder Mauro 1.3%
$26,972 Vol.
$26,972 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
Hana Ghassan
58%
Dr. Daniel Santos
40%
Paulo Rocha
3%
Éder Mauro
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
1%
Rogério Barra
1%
Zequinha Marinho
<1%
Hana Ghassan 58%
Dr. Daniel Santos 40%
Paulo Rocha 2.6%
Éder Mauro 1.3%
$26,972 Vol.
$26,972 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
Hana Ghassan
$11,760 Vol.
58%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$8,526 Vol.
40%
Paulo Rocha
$1,017 Vol.
3%
Éder Mauro
$3,166 Vol.
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$873 Vol.
1%
Rogério Barra
$859 Vol.
1%
Zequinha Marinho
$772 Vol.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the current governor of Pará who assumed the role after her predecessor's resignation, holds the leading position in trader pricing for the 2026 election at 57.5%. Recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys from late July and early August show her in a technical tie with main challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), the former mayor of Ananindeua who stepped down to run, with both candidates in the low-to-mid 20s or low 30s in first-round scenarios and nearly even in runoff hypotheticals amid high undecided shares exceeding 60%. Multiple other declared candidates including Éder Mauro, Paulo Rocha, Dirceu Ten Caten, Rogério Barra, and Zequinha Marinho register minimal support, keeping the field fragmented. The tight contest reflects incumbency dynamics, limited name recognition shifts, and the absence of decisive late momentum or major endorsements that could separate the frontrunners ahead of the October vote.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Volume
$26,972Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the current governor of Pará who assumed the role after her predecessor's resignation, holds the leading position in trader pricing for the 2026 election at 57.5%. Recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys from late July and early August show her in a technical tie with main challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), the former mayor of Ananindeua who stepped down to run, with both candidates in the low-to-mid 20s or low 30s in first-round scenarios and nearly even in runoff hypotheticals amid high undecided shares exceeding 60%. Multiple other declared candidates including Éder Mauro, Paulo Rocha, Dirceu Ten Caten, Rogério Barra, and Zequinha Marinho register minimal support, keeping the field fragmented. The tight contest reflects incumbency dynamics, limited name recognition shifts, and the absence of decisive late momentum or major endorsements that could separate the frontrunners ahead of the October vote.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$26,972Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hana Ghassan (MDB), the current governor of Pará who assumed the role after her predecessor's resignation, holds the leading position in trader pricing for the 2026 election at 57.5%. Recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys from late July and early August show her in a technical tie with main challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), the former mayor of Ananindeua who stepped down to run, with both candidates in the low-to-mid 20s or low 30s in first-round scenarios and nearly even in runoff hypotheticals amid high undecided shares exceeding 60%. Multiple other declared candidates including Éder Mauro, Paulo Rocha, Dirceu Ten Caten, Rogério Barra, and Zequinha Marinho register minimal support, keeping the field fragmented. The tight contest reflects incumbency dynamics, limited name recognition shifts, and the absence of decisive late momentum or major endorsements that could separate the frontrunners ahead of the October vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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