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Politika·Canada

Hamilton Mayoral Election

icon for Hamilton Mayoral Election
Politika·Canada

Hamilton Mayoral Election

Keanin Loomis 55%

Andrea Horwath 38%

Sasha Austin 4.9%

Scarlett Gillespie 4.8%

Polymarket

$14,118 Vol.

Keanin Loomis 55%

Andrea Horwath 38%

Sasha Austin 4.9%

Scarlett Gillespie 4.8%

Polymarket

$14,118 Vol.

icon for Keanin Loomis

Keanin Loomis

$7,939 Vol.

55%

icon for Andrea Horwath

Andrea Horwath

$2,039 Vol.

38%

icon for Sasha Austin

Sasha Austin

$1,580 Vol.

5%

icon for Scarlett Gillespie

Scarlett Gillespie

$1,136 Vol.

5%

icon for Paul Fromm

Paul Fromm

$398 Vol.

1%

icon for Pamela Mitchell

Pamela Mitchell

$175 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rob Cooper

Rob Cooper

$333 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ejaz Butt

Ejaz Butt

$258 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nathalie Xian Yi Yan

Nathalie Xian Yi Yan

$261 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.The Hamilton mayoral race remains tight ahead of the October 26 vote, with Keanin Loomis holding a modest edge in trader consensus over incumbent Andrea Horwath and a crowded field of other candidates. Loomis, the 2022 runner-up, benefits from business backing and emphasis on housing supply, infrastructure, and local procurement amid U.S. tariff pressures, while Horwath highlights her record on affordable housing investments and recent tariff-response measures. The September 22 Chamber of Commerce debate sharpened contrasts on property taxes, downtown safety, and development approvals, with Ward 8 Councillor Rob Cooper also participating. Historical precedent of narrow margins, limited public polling, and vote-splitting among lower-polling contenders sustain the competitive positioning reflected in current odds.

The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.
Volume
$14,118
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.The Hamilton mayoral race remains tight ahead of the October 26 vote, with Keanin Loomis holding a modest edge in trader consensus over incumbent Andrea Horwath and a crowded field of other candidates. Loomis, the 2022 runner-up, benefits from business backing and emphasis on housing supply, infrastructure, and local procurement amid U.S. tariff pressures, while Horwath highlights her record on affordable housing investments and recent tariff-response measures. The September 22 Chamber of Commerce debate sharpened contrasts on property taxes, downtown safety, and development approvals, with Ward 8 Councillor Rob Cooper also participating. Historical precedent of narrow margins, limited public polling, and vote-splitting among lower-polling contenders sustain the competitive positioning reflected in current odds.

The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.
Volume
$14,118
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Hamilton Mayoral Election" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Keanin Loomis" sa 57%, sinusundan ng "Andrea Horwath" sa 43%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 57¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 57% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Hamilton Mayoral Election" ay naka-generate ng $14.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 10, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Hamilton Mayoral Election," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Hamilton Mayoral Election" ay "Keanin Loomis" sa 57%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 57% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Andrea Horwath" sa 43%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Hamilton Mayoral Election" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.