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icon for Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner
Politika·Bulgaria

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner

icon for Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner
Politika·Bulgaria

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner

Iliana Iotova 79%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 9%

Vassil Terziev 6%

Atanas Atanasov 6%

Polymarket
BAGO

Iliana Iotova 79%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 9%

Vassil Terziev 6%

Atanas Atanasov 6%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Iliana Iotova

Iliana Iotova

$128 Vol.

79%

icon for Rosen Zhelyazkov

Rosen Zhelyazkov

$21 Vol.

9%

icon for Vassil Terziev

Vassil Terziev

$21 Vol.

6%

icon for Atanas Atanasov

Atanas Atanasov

$21 Vol.

6%

icon for Kostadin Kostadinov

Kostadin Kostadinov

$21 Vol.

5%

icon for Andrey Gyurov

Andrey Gyurov

$21 Vol.

4%

icon for Nikolai Denkov

Nikolai Denkov

$21 Vol.

4%

icon for Boyko Borissov

Boyko Borissov

$21 Vol.

4%

icon for Delyan Peevski

Delyan Peevski

$21 Vol.

4%

icon for Krum Zarkov

Krum Zarkov

$21 Vol.

4%

icon for Blagomir Kotsev

Blagomir Kotsev

$21 Vol.

4%

icon for Natalia Kiselova

Natalia Kiselova

$21 Vol.

4%

icon for Yanaki Stoilov

Yanaki Stoilov

$21 Vol.

4%

icon for Rosen Plevneliev

Rosen Plevneliev

$21 Vol.

4%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Iliana Iotova holds the strongest position for first-round victory in Bulgaria’s October 25 presidential election, with trader consensus at 67% reflecting her status as incumbent who assumed office in January 2026 after Rumen Radev’s resignation and her broad coalition backing from BSP-OL, Progressive Bulgaria, and allied groups. Early Global Metrics polling from June–July showed her with roughly 50% support among likely voters, far ahead of main challenger Andrey Gyurov at 23%, while the field remains fragmented across more than two dozen registered candidate pairs. Recent developments, including closure of candidate registrations on September 22 and the September 23 ballot draw assigning Iotova number 25, have reinforced her visibility ahead of the campaign launch on September 25. Lower probabilities for figures such as Kostadin Kostadinov, Rosen Zhelyazkov, and others align with their limited polling traction and narrower party bases in a two-round system where first-round majorities are rare.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$401
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 25, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 23, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Iliana Iotova holds the strongest position for first-round victory in Bulgaria’s October 25 presidential election, with trader consensus at 67% reflecting her status as incumbent who assumed office in January 2026 after Rumen Radev’s resignation and her broad coalition backing from BSP-OL, Progressive Bulgaria, and allied groups. Early Global Metrics polling from June–July showed her with roughly 50% support among likely voters, far ahead of main challenger Andrey Gyurov at 23%, while the field remains fragmented across more than two dozen registered candidate pairs. Recent developments, including closure of candidate registrations on September 22 and the September 23 ballot draw assigning Iotova number 25, have reinforced her visibility ahead of the campaign launch on September 25. Lower probabilities for figures such as Kostadin Kostadinov, Rosen Zhelyazkov, and others align with their limited polling traction and narrower party bases in a two-round system where first-round majorities are rare.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$401
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 25, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 23, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

Kaugnay

icon for Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

10%
icon for Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

72%
icon for Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?

43%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 14 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Iliana Iotova" sa 95%, sinusundan ng "Vassil Terziev" sa 10%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 95¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 95% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 23, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner," i-browse ang 14 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner" ay "Iliana Iotova" sa 95%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 95% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Vassil Terziev" sa 10%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.