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Nagbitiw mga prediksiyon at odds

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Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$92.5K Liq.

93

Ends in 2 months

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$432K Vol.

$150K Liq.

25

Ends in 9 months

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

8%

Before 2027

$3M Vol.

$37.7K Liq.

43

Ends in 2 months

Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

6%

$15.4K Vol.

$26.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$117M Vol.

$56.4K today

$433K Liq.

33

Ends in 9 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

66%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$28.1K Vol.

$139K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

15%

$39.0K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

29%

December 31, 2026

$99.4K Vol.

$21.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

62%

June 30

$109K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

54

Ends in 2 months

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

63%

December 31

$12M Vol.

$817K today

$187K Liq.

402

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

59%

Nicolás Maduro

$84M Vol.

$433K today

$417K Liq.

287

Ends in 9 months

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

1%

$9M Vol.

$298K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends in 12 days

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

90%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$5M Vol.

$188K today

$565K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

30%

December 31

$9M Vol.

$172K today

$238K Liq.

1,027

Ends in 9 months

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

6%

$3M Vol.

$137K today

$461K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

17%

$7M Vol.

$91.5K today

$424K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

10%

$4M Vol.

$269K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

10%

$51.1K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

80%

December 31

$288K Vol.

$72.3K Liq.

21

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

2%

$504K Vol.

$40.8K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang Polymarket ang pinakamalaking prediction market sa mundo, kung saan maaari kang manatiling informed at kumita mula sa iyong kaalaman sa pamamagitan ng pag-trade sa mga bagay na may kaugnayan sa breaking news, pulitika, sports, eleksyon, crypto, finance, tech, kultura, kasama ang mga paksa tulad ng Nagbitiw.

Kasalukuyang nag-ho-host ang Polymarket ng 205 aktibong markets para sa Nagbitiw na nagbibigay-daan sa iyong subaybayan o mag-trade sa mga prediksiyon tulad ng "Macron out by...?". Sinusubaybayan mo man ang mga malawakang pinagdedebatehang event o niche outcomes, pinagsasama-sama ng platform ang real-time odds batay sa higit $256.4M sa trading volume, na nagbibigay ng komprehensibong view ng sentimyento ng mga fan at investor.

Ang bawat polymarket ay isang yes/no na tanong, tulad ng "Trump out as President before 2027?". Bumibili ka ng shares sa "yes" o "no" na outcomes. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa crowd-sourced odds at probabilities. Halimbawa, kung ang yes ay nasa 30 cents, ibig sabihin 30% ang tsansa. Nire-resolve ang mga market batay sa opisyal na resulta. Para sa multi-outcome events, tulad ng "Netanyahu out by...?," mag-trade ka lang sa partikular na outcome na sa tingin mong mananalo.

Sa ngayon, ang pinaka-aktibong market ay "Netanyahu out by...?," kung saan ang crowd ay kasalukuyang nagtatakda ng 44% na tsansa sa December 31. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon at nag-te-trade ang mga user, na nag-aalok ng dynamic na snapshot kung ano ang pinaniniwalaan ng market na mangyayari kumpara sa tradisyonal na bookmaker odds.

Tinatanggal nito ang ingay. Hindi tulad ng mga poll o punditry, pinapakita sa iyo ng Polymarket ang real-time odds sa Nagbitiw predictions na sinusuportahan ng financial conviction na kadalasang mas mabilis at mas tumpak kaysa sa mga eksperto o survey. Makakakuha ka ng unbiased na view ng kung ano ang iniisip ng libu-libong traders na talagang mangyayari, na kadalasang mas tumpak kaysa sa polls. Dagdag pa, maaari kang mag-trade ng shares at posibleng kumita kung tama ang iyong mga prediksiyon.