**Trader consensus heavily favors Trump completing his term without resignation, reflecting his repeated public commitments to serving through 2029, absence of acute health or legal crises, and historical patterns where presidents rarely step down absent extraordinary pressure.** Approval ratings in the high 30s amid the Iran conflict and midterm headwinds have not translated into serious removal efforts, with a recent impeachment resolution stalling in committee. Primary drivers include Trump's demonstrated resilience in prior controversies, institutional barriers to invoking the 25th Amendment without broad bipartisan or cabinet support, and the low base rate of voluntary exits by incumbents. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden medical emergency, major scandal prompting overwhelming party pressure, or an unexpected diplomatic breakthrough altering domestic dynamics before year-end 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$20,281 Vol.
$20,281 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$20,281 Vol.
$20,281 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Trader consensus heavily favors Trump completing his term without resignation, reflecting his repeated public commitments to serving through 2029, absence of acute health or legal crises, and historical patterns where presidents rarely step down absent extraordinary pressure.** Approval ratings in the high 30s amid the Iran conflict and midterm headwinds have not translated into serious removal efforts, with a recent impeachment resolution stalling in committee. Primary drivers include Trump's demonstrated resilience in prior controversies, institutional barriers to invoking the 25th Amendment without broad bipartisan or cabinet support, and the low base rate of voluntary exits by incumbents. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden medical emergency, major scandal prompting overwhelming party pressure, or an unexpected diplomatic breakthrough altering domestic dynamics before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Volume
$20,281Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Trader consensus heavily favors Trump completing his term without resignation, reflecting his repeated public commitments to serving through 2029, absence of acute health or legal crises, and historical patterns where presidents rarely step down absent extraordinary pressure.** Approval ratings in the high 30s amid the Iran conflict and midterm headwinds have not translated into serious removal efforts, with a recent impeachment resolution stalling in committee. Primary drivers include Trump's demonstrated resilience in prior controversies, institutional barriers to invoking the 25th Amendment without broad bipartisan or cabinet support, and the low base rate of voluntary exits by incumbents. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden medical emergency, major scandal prompting overwhelming party pressure, or an unexpected diplomatic breakthrough altering domestic dynamics before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$20,281Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus heavily favors Trump completing his term without resignation, reflecting his repeated public commitments to serving through 2029, absence of acute health or legal crises, and historical patterns where presidents rarely step down absent extraordinary pressure.** Approval ratings in the high 30s amid the Iran conflict and midterm headwinds have not translated into serious removal efforts, with a recent impeachment resolution stalling in committee. Primary drivers include Trump's demonstrated resilience in prior controversies, institutional barriers to invoking the 25th Amendment without broad bipartisan or cabinet support, and the low base rate of voluntary exits by incumbents. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden medical emergency, major scandal prompting overwhelming party pressure, or an unexpected diplomatic breakthrough altering domestic dynamics before year-end 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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