President Donald Trump's second term, which began in January 2025, has featured consistent engagement in executive actions, legislative priorities such as health care restructuring, and foreign policy initiatives including diplomacy with Iran, with no public statements or procedural steps indicating an intent to resign before 2027. Trader consensus at 95.5% for "No" reflects historical precedent—presidential resignations remain exceptionally rare—and the absence of confirmed developments, such as verified incapacitation or successful impeachment proceedings, that would trigger the 25th Amendment or voluntary departure. Midterm election dynamics, approval ratings in the mid-to-high 30s, and occasional partisan speculation have not produced structural pressures sufficient to shift probabilities materially. Realistic scenarios that could still alter outcomes include a sudden, severe health event confirmed by medical assessment or an unforeseen congressional process resulting in removal or negotiated exit, though both carry high procedural and political barriers within the resolution window.