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icon for Yokohama Mayoral Election Winner
Politika·Japan

Yokohama Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Yokohama Mayoral Election Winner
Politika·Japan

Yokohama Mayoral Election Winner

Atsumi Harasawa 50%

Kazuma Nakatani 20%

Yuka Asaka 16%

Atsushi Fukuyama 11%

Polymarket
BAGO

Atsumi Harasawa 50%

Kazuma Nakatani 20%

Yuka Asaka 16%

Atsushi Fukuyama 11%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Atsumi Harasawa

Atsumi Harasawa

$513 Vol.

50%

icon for Kazuma Nakatani

Kazuma Nakatani

$70 Vol.

20%

icon for Yuka Asaka

Yuka Asaka

$114 Vol.

16%

icon for Atsushi Fukuyama

Atsushi Fukuyama

$98 Vol.

11%

The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The sudden resignation of incumbent Takeharu Yamanaka amid confirmed workplace harassment findings has produced a fragmented field for the October 18 Yokohama mayoral vote, with campaigning set to begin October 4. Lawyer Atsumi Harasawa, backed by the Liberal Democratic Party and business groups, leads implied probabilities at 34.5% on governance and compliance credentials. Former lawmaker Kazuma Nakatani, supported by the Constitutional Democratic Party’s Kanagawa chapter, sits at 19.5% after emphasizing an anti-casino ordinance to block integrated resort bids. Communist Party candidate Yuka Asaka and executive Atsushi Fukuyama trail at 11.0% and 10.5%. The tight spread reflects divided party alignments, competing policy priorities on municipal reform and development, and limited time for any contender to consolidate support ahead of the short official campaign window.

The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).
Volume
$794
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 23, 2026, 10:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The sudden resignation of incumbent Takeharu Yamanaka amid confirmed workplace harassment findings has produced a fragmented field for the October 18 Yokohama mayoral vote, with campaigning set to begin October 4. Lawyer Atsumi Harasawa, backed by the Liberal Democratic Party and business groups, leads implied probabilities at 34.5% on governance and compliance credentials. Former lawmaker Kazuma Nakatani, supported by the Constitutional Democratic Party’s Kanagawa chapter, sits at 19.5% after emphasizing an anti-casino ordinance to block integrated resort bids. Communist Party candidate Yuka Asaka and executive Atsushi Fukuyama trail at 11.0% and 10.5%. The tight spread reflects divided party alignments, competing policy priorities on municipal reform and development, and limited time for any contender to consolidate support ahead of the short official campaign window.

The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).
Volume
$794
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 23, 2026, 10:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Yokohama Mayoral Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Atsumi Harasawa" sa 58%, sinusundan ng "Kazuma Nakatani" sa 20%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 58¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 58% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Yokohama Mayoral Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 23, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Yokohama Mayoral Election Winner," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Yokohama Mayoral Election Winner" ay "Atsumi Harasawa" sa 58%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 58% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Kazuma Nakatani" sa 20%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Yokohama Mayoral Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.