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icon for Israel Election: Joint List Effectively Banned?

Israel Election: Joint List Effectively Banned?

icon for Israel Election: Joint List Effectively Banned?

Israel Election: Joint List Effectively Banned?

13% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
13% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Joint List is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents the Joint List from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: the Joint List’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; the Joint List being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for the Joint List’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated. A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if the Joint List is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No". A decision by the Joint List to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of the Joint List will not qualify, provided the Joint List’s list remains eligible to contest the election. Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, the Joint List, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and the Joint List; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel’s Central Elections Committee voted on September 23, 2026, to disqualify the Joint List—an alliance of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad—from the October 27 Knesset election, citing petitions from Likud and other parties that alleged support for armed struggle against the state or rejection of Israel as a Jewish and democratic state. Separate votes also targeted individual candidates including Balad’s Sami Abu Shehadeh and Hadash’s Ofer Cassif. These committee decisions are not final; appeals go directly to the Supreme Court, which has a consistent record of overturning similar disqualifications of Arab-led lists due to the high evidentiary threshold required under the Basic Law: The Knesset. The Joint List and supporting organizations expect the court to restore eligibility ahead of the vote, sustaining trader consensus that an effective ban is unlikely.

Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Joint List is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents the Joint List from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: the Joint List’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; the Joint List being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for the Joint List’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.

A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if the Joint List is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".

A decision by the Joint List to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of the Joint List will not qualify, provided the Joint List’s list remains eligible to contest the election.

Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, the Joint List, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and the Joint List; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Joint List is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents the Joint List from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: the Joint List’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; the Joint List being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for the Joint List’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated. A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if the Joint List is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No". A decision by the Joint List to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of the Joint List will not qualify, provided the Joint List’s list remains eligible to contest the election. Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, the Joint List, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and the Joint List; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$141
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Joint List is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents the Joint List from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: the Joint List’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; the Joint List being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for the Joint List’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated. A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if the Joint List is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No". A decision by the Joint List to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of the Joint List will not qualify, provided the Joint List’s list remains eligible to contest the election. Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, the Joint List, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and the Joint List; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel’s Central Elections Committee voted on September 23, 2026, to disqualify the Joint List—an alliance of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad—from the October 27 Knesset election, citing petitions from Likud and other parties that alleged support for armed struggle against the state or rejection of Israel as a Jewish and democratic state. Separate votes also targeted individual candidates including Balad’s Sami Abu Shehadeh and Hadash’s Ofer Cassif. These committee decisions are not final; appeals go directly to the Supreme Court, which has a consistent record of overturning similar disqualifications of Arab-led lists due to the high evidentiary threshold required under the Basic Law: The Knesset. The Joint List and supporting organizations expect the court to restore eligibility ahead of the vote, sustaining trader consensus that an effective ban is unlikely.

Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Joint List is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents the Joint List from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: the Joint List’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; the Joint List being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for the Joint List’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.

A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if the Joint List is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".

A decision by the Joint List to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of the Joint List will not qualify, provided the Joint List’s list remains eligible to contest the election.

Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, the Joint List, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and the Joint List; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Joint List is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents the Joint List from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: the Joint List’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; the Joint List being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for the Joint List’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated. A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if the Joint List is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No". A decision by the Joint List to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of the Joint List will not qualify, provided the Joint List’s list remains eligible to contest the election. Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, the Joint List, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and the Joint List; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ET

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Ang "Israel Election: Joint List Effectively Banned?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 17% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 17¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 17% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Israel Election: Joint List Effectively Banned?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 23, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Israel Election: Joint List Effectively Banned?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Israel Election: Joint List Effectively Banned?" ay 17% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 17% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

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