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Elections predictions & odds

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$3M today

$51M Liq.

694

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$592M Vol.

$3M today

$17M Liq.

370

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028
Elections·US Election

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$559M Vol.

$1M today

$23M Liq.

871

Ends in over 2 years

Peru Presidential Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election Winner

65%

Keiko Fujimori

$48M Vol.

$606K today

$5M Liq.

4,428

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

88%

Chong Won-oh

$32M Vol.

$561K today

$3M Liq.

44

Ends in about 1 month

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

<1%

$16M Vol.

$511K today

$523K Liq.

1

Ends in about 15 hours

Next French Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

23%

Jordan Bardella

$54M Vol.

$499K today

$5M Liq.

425

Ends in about 1 year

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

92%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$5M Vol.

$473K today

$981K Liq.

19

Ends in about 1 month

Colombia Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election

39%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$26M Vol.

$386K today

$1M Liq.

400

Ends in about 2 months

California Governor Election Winner
Elections·US Election

California Governor Election Winner

48%

Tom Steyer

$15M Vol.

$300K today

$3M Liq.

42

Ends in 6 months

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

4%

$4M Vol.

$286K today

$541K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

43%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$6M Vol.

$175K today

$511K Liq.

191

Ends in 8 months

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

61%

United Russia (ER)

$6M Vol.

$136K today

$336K Liq.

153

Ends in 5 months

Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

99%

Péter Magyar

$94M Vol.

$127K today

$3M Liq.

2,109

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner

53%

AITC

$5M Vol.

$125K today

$193K Liq.

258

Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner

71%

DMK

$17M Vol.

$76.2K today

$246K Liq.

361

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Elections·Global Elections

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

67%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$3M Vol.

$72.8K today

$293K Liq.

27

Ends in 5 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Elections·US Election

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

49%

Democrats Sweep

$6M Vol.

$72.2K today

$468K Liq.

152

Ends in 6 months

Gangwon Province Governor Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Gangwon Province Governor Election Winner

92%

Woo Sang-ho

$455K Vol.

$101K Liq.

7

Ends in about 1 month

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Elections·Referendums

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

44%

$3M Vol.

$243K Liq.

15

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Elections.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Elections that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.6B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.