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Elections predictions & odds

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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$590M Vol.

$3M today

$34M Liq.

368

Ends in over 2 years

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$2M today

$59M Liq.

692

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028
Elections·US Election

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$557M Vol.

$2M today

$28M Liq.

871

Ends in over 2 years

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

<1%

$15M Vol.

$969K today

$875K Liq.

1

Ends in 1 day

Next French Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

23%

Jordan Bardella

$54M Vol.

$607K today

$5M Liq.

424

Ends in about 1 year

Peru Presidential Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election Winner

64%

Keiko Fujimori

$47M Vol.

$429K today

$6M Liq.

4,394

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

88%

Chong Won-oh

$32M Vol.

$335K today

$3M Liq.

42

Ends in about 1 month

Colombia Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election

40%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$26M Vol.

$301K today

$2M Liq.

394

Ends in about 2 months

California Governor Election Winner
Elections·US Election

California Governor Election Winner

46%

Tom Steyer

$15M Vol.

$265K today

$2M Liq.

42

Ends in 6 months

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

43%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$6M Vol.

$213K today

$555K Liq.

188

Ends in 8 months

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner

55%

AITC

$5M Vol.

$144K today

$123K Liq.

202

Ends in about 13 hours

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

92%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$4M Vol.

$116K today

$909K Liq.

18

Ends in about 1 month

Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

99%

Péter Magyar

$94M Vol.

$112K today

$5M Liq.

2,109

Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner

74%

DMK

$16M Vol.

$100K today

$210K Liq.

337

Gangwon Province Governor Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Gangwon Province Governor Election Winner

92%

Woo Sang-ho

$446K Vol.

$67.7K today

$74.3K Liq.

7

Ends in about 1 month

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Elections·Referendums

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

46%

$3M Vol.

$58.3K today

$286K Liq.

15

Ends in 6 months

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

5%

$4M Vol.

$57.5K today

$451K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

96%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$6M Vol.

$52.7K today

$1M Liq.

362

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

66%

United Russia (ER)

$6M Vol.

$434K Liq.

152

Ends in 5 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Elections·US Election

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

50%

Democrats Sweep

$6M Vol.

$522K Liq.

152

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Elections.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Elections that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.6B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.