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Elections·Haiti

Haiti elections delayed again?

Market icon
Elections·Haiti

Haiti elections delayed again?

54% chance
Polymarket
NEW
54% chance
Polymarket
NEW
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Haiti's Provisional Electoral Council (CEP) opened political party registration on March 3 for the first general elections since 2016, scheduled for August 30 amid the Transitional Presidential Council's mandate expiration on February 7, which ushered in political limbo without a clear successor government. Trader sentiment at 53.5% for further delays reflects this competitive balance: procedural momentum from the CEP's confirmed calendar clashes with rampant gang violence controlling territory and thwarting security, echoing repeated postponements since President Moïse's 2021 assassination. Improved stability from the Kenyan-led multinational force or successful voter registration could shift odds toward timely polls, while escalated attacks or logistical breakdowns might prompt another deferral.

Haiti's Provisional Electoral Council (CEP) opened political party registration on March 3 for the first general elections since 2016, scheduled for August 30 amid the Transitional Presidential Council's mandate expiration on February 7, which ushered in political limbo without a clear successor government. Trader sentiment at 53.5% for further delays reflects this competitive balance: procedural momentum from the CEP's confirmed calendar clashes with rampant gang violence controlling territory and thwarting security, echoing repeated postponements since President Moïse's 2021 assassination. Improved stability from the Kenyan-led multinational force or successful voter registration could shift odds toward timely polls, while escalated attacks or logistical breakdowns might prompt another deferral.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Haiti's Provisional Electoral Council (CEP) opened political party registration on March 3 for the first general elections since 2016, scheduled for August 30 amid the Transitional Presidential Council's mandate expiration on February 7, which ushered in political limbo without a clear successor government. Trader sentiment at 53.5% for further delays reflects this competitive balance: procedural momentum from the CEP's confirmed calendar clashes with rampant gang violence controlling territory and thwarting security, echoing repeated postponements since President Moïse's 2021 assassination. Improved stability from the Kenyan-led multinational force or successful voter registration could shift odds toward timely polls, while escalated attacks or logistical breakdowns might prompt another deferral.

Haiti's Provisional Electoral Council (CEP) opened political party registration on March 3 for the first general elections since 2016, scheduled for August 30 amid the Transitional Presidential Council's mandate expiration on February 7, which ushered in political limbo without a clear successor government. Trader sentiment at 53.5% for further delays reflects this competitive balance: procedural momentum from the CEP's confirmed calendar clashes with rampant gang violence controlling territory and thwarting security, echoing repeated postponements since President Moïse's 2021 assassination. Improved stability from the Kenyan-led multinational force or successful voter registration could shift odds toward timely polls, while escalated attacks or logistical breakdowns might prompt another deferral.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Haiti elections delayed again?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 54% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 54¢, the market collectively assigns a 54% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Haiti elections delayed again?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Haiti elections delayed again?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Haiti elections delayed again?" is 54% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 54% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Haiti elections delayed again?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.