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Vance predictions & odds

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Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

12%

$52.0K Vol.

$33.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Who will meet with Iran by April 30?

Who will meet with Iran by April 30?

14%

Jared Kushner

$2M Vol.

$189K today

$188K Liq.

90

Ends in 4 days

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

85%

Steve Witkoff

$992K Vol.

$58.7K today

$167K Liq.

67

Ends in 2 months

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

52%

May 15

$23M Vol.

$4M today

$749K Liq.

5

Ends in 4 days

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

79%

Pakistan

$3M Vol.

$172K today

$304K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

13%

May 4

$63.9K Vol.

$77.3K Liq.

10

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$584M Vol.

$2M today

$36M Liq.

364

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$553M Vol.

$944K today

$30M Liq.

869

Ends in over 2 years

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

46%

Keir Starmer

$321K Vol.

$151K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

98%

Joe Biden

$39.5K Vol.

$65.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

34%

Steve Bannon

$608K Vol.

$1M Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

9%

Any U.S. House member

$356K Vol.

$221K Liq.

4

Ends in 2 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

53%

Tulsi Gabbard

$6.0K Vol.

$152K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

48%

Economy

$2.0K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

27%

Donald Trump

$11.6K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

23%

Marco Rubio

$4.9K Vol.

$914K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

96%

Hakeem Jeffries

$5.4K Vol.

$46.3K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

What will Trump post this week? (April 27 - May 3)

What will Trump post this week? (April 27 - May 3)

76%

Blockade

$249 Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

$2.2K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby

$8.3K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Vance.

Polymarket currently hosts 129 active markets for Vance that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.2B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 39% chance to J.D. Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Vance predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.