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Politics·Celebrities

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

icon for Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Politics·Celebrities

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

$945,384 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$945,384 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$9,805 Vol.

12%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$16,054 Vol.

11%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$16,897 Vol.

11%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$61,752 Vol.

11%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$8,500 Vol.

11%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$13,533 Vol.

11%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$8,543 Vol.

10%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$43,389 Vol.

10%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$48,919 Vol.

9%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$4,766 Vol.

9%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$12,090 Vol.

9%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$41,023 Vol.

9%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$2,813 Vol.

9%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$2,907 Vol.

9%

icon for Steve Bannon

Steve Bannon

$15,411 Vol.

9%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$2,899 Vol.

9%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$17,193 Vol.

8%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$19,640 Vol.

8%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$6,767 Vol.

8%

icon for Don Lemon

Don Lemon

$1,743 Vol.

7%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$2,874 Vol.

7%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$1,573 Vol.

7%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$5,175 Vol.

7%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$7,533 Vol.

7%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$14,282 Vol.

6%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$2,309 Vol.

6%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$3,258 Vol.

6%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$5,478 Vol.

6%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$4,630 Vol.

6%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$4,884 Vol.

5%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$22,728 Vol.

5%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$14,428 Vol.

5%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$5,961 Vol.

5%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$7,765 Vol.

5%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$3,929 Vol.

5%

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$28,590 Vol.

5%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$9,422 Vol.

5%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$9,274 Vol.

5%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$9,034 Vol.

5%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$32,413 Vol.

4%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$4,121 Vol.

4%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$19,761 Vol.

4%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$5,685 Vol.

4%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$16,295 Vol.

4%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$50,851 Vol.

4%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$3,679 Vol.

3%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$3,221 Vol.

3%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$19,045 Vol.

3%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$13,140 Vol.

3%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$34,923 Vol.

3%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$3,439 Vol.

3%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$6,853 Vol.

3%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$6,799 Vol.

3%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$6,520 Vol.

3%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$29,046 Vol.

3%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$14,205 Vol.

2%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$2,787 Vol.

2%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$14,242 Vol.

2%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$10,697 Vol.

2%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$15,943 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$7,605 Vol.

2%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$9,547 Vol.

2%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$7,887 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$3,245 Vol.

1%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$25,960 Vol.

1%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$13,278 Vol.

1%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$9,961 Vol.

1%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$10,695 Vol.

1%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$6,434 Vol.

1%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$15,536 Vol.

1%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$3,802 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, no major-party figures have formally launched 2028 presidential campaigns, consistent with historical patterns where announcements typically accelerate after the November midterms and into early 2027. Potential Democratic contenders such as Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, Andy Beshear, and Cory Booker appear in early polling and media speculation, while Gretchen Whitmer has ruled herself out; on the Republican side, figures like J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio lead informal discussions tied to their current roles. Minor exploratory steps include a May 2026 announcement by television writer Dan Greaney and reports of an exploratory committee by former Border Patrol official Gregory Bovino. The 2026 midterm results and any late-2026 positioning moves by governors or senators represent the next catalysts that could shift timelines for pre-2027 declarations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$945,384
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, no major-party figures have formally launched 2028 presidential campaigns, consistent with historical patterns where announcements typically accelerate after the November midterms and into early 2027. Potential Democratic contenders such as Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, Andy Beshear, and Cory Booker appear in early polling and media speculation, while Gretchen Whitmer has ruled herself out; on the Republican side, figures like J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio lead informal discussions tied to their current roles. Minor exploratory steps include a May 2026 announcement by television writer Dan Greaney and reports of an exploratory committee by former Border Patrol official Gregory Bovino. The 2026 midterm results and any late-2026 positioning moves by governors or senators represent the next catalysts that could shift timelines for pre-2027 declarations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$945,384
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rahm Emanuel" at 12%, followed by "Stephen A. Smith" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" has generated $945.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" is "Rahm Emanuel" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Stephen A. Smith" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.