Trump's second term, underway since January 2025, features an active agenda of executive orders on deregulation, border enforcement, and economic policy with no verified health crises, resignations, or bipartisan removal efforts gaining traction. Impeachment resolutions introduced in the House lack the two-thirds Senate support required for conviction, while 25th Amendment invocation faces high procedural hurdles involving the vice president and cabinet. Midterm elections in November 2026 remain ahead, preserving current institutional alignments that historically favor incumbents completing terms. Trader consensus at 93.5% for "No" reflects these constitutional barriers, low base rates for early exits, and the absence of recent catalysts capable of shifting the outcome before 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$10,447,448 Vol.
$10,447,448 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$10,447,448 Vol.
$10,447,448 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's second term, underway since January 2025, features an active agenda of executive orders on deregulation, border enforcement, and economic policy with no verified health crises, resignations, or bipartisan removal efforts gaining traction. Impeachment resolutions introduced in the House lack the two-thirds Senate support required for conviction, while 25th Amendment invocation faces high procedural hurdles involving the vice president and cabinet. Midterm elections in November 2026 remain ahead, preserving current institutional alignments that historically favor incumbents completing terms. Trader consensus at 93.5% for "No" reflects these constitutional barriers, low base rates for early exits, and the absence of recent catalysts capable of shifting the outcome before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$10,447,448End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's second term, underway since January 2025, features an active agenda of executive orders on deregulation, border enforcement, and economic policy with no verified health crises, resignations, or bipartisan removal efforts gaining traction. Impeachment resolutions introduced in the House lack the two-thirds Senate support required for conviction, while 25th Amendment invocation faces high procedural hurdles involving the vice president and cabinet. Midterm elections in November 2026 remain ahead, preserving current institutional alignments that historically favor incumbents completing terms. Trader consensus at 93.5% for "No" reflects these constitutional barriers, low base rates for early exits, and the absence of recent catalysts capable of shifting the outcome before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,447,448End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's second term, underway since January 2025, features an active agenda of executive orders on deregulation, border enforcement, and economic policy with no verified health crises, resignations, or bipartisan removal efforts gaining traction. Impeachment resolutions introduced in the House lack the two-thirds Senate support required for conviction, while 25th Amendment invocation faces high procedural hurdles involving the vice president and cabinet. Midterm elections in November 2026 remain ahead, preserving current institutional alignments that historically favor incumbents completing terms. Trader consensus at 93.5% for "No" reflects these constitutional barriers, low base rates for early exits, and the absence of recent catalysts capable of shifting the outcome before 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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