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UK predictions & odds

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Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

69%

December 31

$15M Vol.

$514K today

$335K Liq.

611

Croydon Mayoral Election Winner

Croydon Mayoral Election Winner

54%

Rowenna Davis

$67.9K Vol.

$103K Liq.

3

Ends in 12 days

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

33%

No Next PM in 2026

$5M Vol.

$740K Liq.

50

Ends in 8 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

91%

Reform

$70.3K Vol.

$95.3K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Bank of England decision in April?

Bank of England decision in April?

98%

No change

$537K Vol.

$62.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Newham Mayoral Election Winner

Newham Mayoral Election Winner

47%

Forhad Hussain

$21.7K Vol.

$76.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 12 days

Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

92%

Labour

$19.3K Vol.

$68.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 12 days

Next First Minister of Scotland?

Next First Minister of Scotland?

91%

John Swinney

$2.8K Vol.

$42.4K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

What will King Charles say during the joint meeting of Congress on April 28?

What will King Charles say during the joint meeting of Congress on April 28?

91%

250 / 250th

$12.4K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Next First Minister of Wales?

Next First Minister of Wales?

91%

Rhun ap Iorwerth

$1.8K Vol.

$64.5K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Precipitation in London in April?

Precipitation in London in April?

92%

<20mm

$14.9K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Bank of England decision in June?

Bank of England decision in June?

71%

No change

$26.6K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Lewisham Mayoral Election Winner

Lewisham Mayoral Election Winner

69%

Liam Shrivastava

$30.1K Vol.

$109K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Hackney Mayoral Election Winner

Hackney Mayoral Election Winner

81%

Zoë Garbett

$13.7K Vol.

$62.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 12 days

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

20%

$1.4K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Watford Mayoral Election Winner

Watford Mayoral Election Winner

95%

Peter Taylor

$5.4K Vol.

$82.3K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

84%

600+

$2.9K Vol.

$36.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 12 days

Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?

Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?

22%

$603 Vol.

$247 Liq.

1

Ends in 5 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

64%

1800+

$9.5K Vol.

$45.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 12 days

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

32%

June 30

$62.6K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like UK.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for UK that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Starmer out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $21.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 69% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on UK predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.