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United Kingdom predictions & odds

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2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

94%

Reform

$93.6K Vol.

$76.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

4%

$834K Vol.

$42.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

99%

Scottish National Party

$2M Vol.

$126K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 days

Newham Mayoral Election Winner

Newham Mayoral Election Winner

52%

Forhad Hussain

$29.0K Vol.

$68.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

74%

Plaid Cymru

$103K Vol.

$54.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 days

Lewisham Mayoral Election Winner

Lewisham Mayoral Election Winner

67%

Liam Shrivastava

$34.9K Vol.

$44.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

6%

$2.0K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner

Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner

92%

Lutfur Rahman

$10.6K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Croydon Mayoral Election Winner

Croydon Mayoral Election Winner

55%

Rowenna Davis

$76.9K Vol.

$71.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 days

Hackney Mayoral Election Winner

Hackney Mayoral Election Winner

84%

Zoë Garbett

$15.9K Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Watford Mayoral Election Winner

Watford Mayoral Election Winner

94%

Peter Taylor

$6.8K Vol.

$28.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

79%

Labour

$29.3K Vol.

$64.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

95%

300+

$20.8K Vol.

$63.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

72%

2000+

$14.5K Vol.

$74.9K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

81%

600+

$14.0K Vol.

$33.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Next First Minister of Scotland?

Next First Minister of Scotland?

96%

John Swinney

$4.5K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

91%

600+

$4.7K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

14%

$1.8K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

89%

$49.6K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

80%

300+

$1.5K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like United Kingdom.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for United Kingdom that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to Scottish National Party. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on United Kingdom predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.