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Resign predictions & odds

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Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$117K Liq.

93

Ends in 2 months

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$432K Vol.

$150K Liq.

26

Ends in 8 months

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

9%

Before 2027

$3M Vol.

$50.2K Liq.

43

Ends in 2 months

Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

5%

$15.5K Vol.

$32.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$119M Vol.

$78.3K today

$640K Liq.

33

Ends in 8 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

53%

Tulsi Gabbard

$5.6K Vol.

$126K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

27%

6

$1.6K Vol.

$59.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

37%

December 31, 2026

$100K Vol.

$30.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

15%

$41.3K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

72%

June 30

$109K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

54

Ends in 2 months

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

<1%

$13M Vol.

$664K today

$4M Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

70%

December 31

$16M Vol.

$424K today

$362K Liq.

617

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

39%

December 31

$11M Vol.

$277K today

$273K Liq.

1,049

Ends in 8 months

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

56%

Nicolás Maduro

$85M Vol.

$148K today

$831K Liq.

313

Ends in 8 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

94%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$6M Vol.

$141K today

$521K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

80%

December 31

$542K Vol.

$54.3K today

$71.8K Liq.

51

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

3%

$1M Vol.

$131K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

17%

$7M Vol.

$445K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

8%

$8M Vol.

$125K Liq.

705

Ends in 8 months

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

23%

December 31

$61.6K Vol.

$41.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Resign.

Polymarket currently hosts 212 active markets for Resign that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Macron out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $271.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Xi Jinping out before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Resign predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.