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Biden predictions & odds

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Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?

Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?

7%

$1.4K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

What will Candace Owens and Hunter Biden say on Thursday?

What will Candace Owens and Hunter Biden say on Thursday?

98%

Laptop

$717 Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in about 14 hours

DOJ releases Biden ghostwriter tapes by...?

DOJ releases Biden ghostwriter tapes by...?

28%

June 30

$240 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$2M today

$61M Liq.

742

Ends in over 2 years

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

76%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$124K Vol.

$71.2K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

30%

Steve Bannon

$653K Vol.

$648K Liq.

17

Ends in 7 months

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

51%

Lee Jun-seok

$100.0K Vol.

$134K Liq.

4

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

91%

Elon Musk

$14.0K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 11 days

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

19%

Barack Obama

$15.5K Vol.

$369K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

50%

Matt Gaetz

$221K Vol.

$103K Liq.

16

Ends in 7 months

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

12%

$8.7K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (May 22)

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (May 22)

92%

Nvidia

$661 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What will Trump say during Coast Guard Keynote?

What will Trump say during Coast Guard Keynote?

82%

Winner / Loser

$20.6K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

2

What will Trump say during Kevin Warsh's Swearing-In?

What will Trump say during Kevin Warsh's Swearing-In?

83%

Job

$354 Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

-

$29.4K Vol.

17

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

1%

Strait / Hormuz

$25M Vol.

$4M today

$4M Liq.

4,911

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

81%

Space / Moon

$52.6K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (May 20)

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (May 20)

98%

Crazy

$2.0K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May?

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May?

44%

Trump Family

$3.9K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

What animals will Trump say in May?

What animals will Trump say in May?

92%

Turkey / Turkiye

$19.5K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

35

Ends in 11 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Biden.

Polymarket currently hosts 133 active markets for Biden that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.2B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Biden predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.