The wide-open 2028 Democratic presidential field, featuring early positioning by figures such as Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ahead of the post-2026 midterm calendar, keeps VP nominee odds highly fragmented with no outcome above 10%. Trader consensus favors Gretchen Whitmer for her Midwest executive record and swing-state profile alongside recent statements distancing herself from a presidential bid, while AOC draws support from progressive visibility and primary successes. Elissa Slotkin, Pete Buttigieg, Andy Beshear, and Jon Ossoff follow on perceived geographic or ideological balance, Senate experience, or messenger skills. Key differentiators include swing-state electoral math, ability to unify factions, and ticket complementarity once the presidential nominee clarifies; consolidation behind one contender will likely accelerate after midterms and formal presidential announcements narrow the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGretchen Whitmer 9.4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9%
Elissa Slotkin 7.8%
James Talarico 6.3%
$91,228 Vol.
$91,228 Vol.
Gretchen Whitmer
9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
Elissa Slotkin
8%
James Talarico
6%
Jon Ossoff
6%
Pete Buttigieg
6%
Andrew Yang
5%
Andy Beshear
5%
Josh Shapiro
5%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
Barack Obama
4%
J.B. Pritzker
4%
Phil Murphy
4%
Ro Khanna
4%
Hillary Clinton
4%
Beto O’Rourke
4%
Jared Polis
3%
Wes Moore
3%
Mark Kelly
3%
Roy Cooper
3%
LeBron James
3%
Rahm Emanuel
3%
Mark Cuban
3%
Bernie Sanders
3%
Gavin Newsom
2%
Kamala Harris
2%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Oprah Winfrey
2%
Liz Cheney
2%
Kim Kardashian
2%
Tim Walz
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Jon Stewart
1%
George Clooney
1%
Stephen A. Smith
<1%
Gina Raimondo
<1%
Hunter Biden
<1%
Gretchen Whitmer 9.4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9%
Elissa Slotkin 7.8%
James Talarico 6.3%
$91,228 Vol.
$91,228 Vol.
Gretchen Whitmer
9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
Elissa Slotkin
8%
James Talarico
6%
Jon Ossoff
6%
Pete Buttigieg
6%
Andrew Yang
5%
Andy Beshear
5%
Josh Shapiro
5%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
Barack Obama
4%
J.B. Pritzker
4%
Phil Murphy
4%
Ro Khanna
4%
Hillary Clinton
4%
Beto O’Rourke
4%
Jared Polis
3%
Wes Moore
3%
Mark Kelly
3%
Roy Cooper
3%
LeBron James
3%
Rahm Emanuel
3%
Mark Cuban
3%
Bernie Sanders
3%
Gavin Newsom
2%
Kamala Harris
2%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Oprah Winfrey
2%
Liz Cheney
2%
Kim Kardashian
2%
Tim Walz
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Jon Stewart
1%
George Clooney
1%
Stephen A. Smith
<1%
Gina Raimondo
<1%
Hunter Biden
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The wide-open 2028 Democratic presidential field, featuring early positioning by figures such as Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ahead of the post-2026 midterm calendar, keeps VP nominee odds highly fragmented with no outcome above 10%. Trader consensus favors Gretchen Whitmer for her Midwest executive record and swing-state profile alongside recent statements distancing herself from a presidential bid, while AOC draws support from progressive visibility and primary successes. Elissa Slotkin, Pete Buttigieg, Andy Beshear, and Jon Ossoff follow on perceived geographic or ideological balance, Senate experience, or messenger skills. Key differentiators include swing-state electoral math, ability to unify factions, and ticket complementarity once the presidential nominee clarifies; consolidation behind one contender will likely accelerate after midterms and formal presidential announcements narrow the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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