The trader consensus for the Democratic vice presidential nominee in 2028 shows former President Barack Obama leading at 36.8 percent amid the party's wide-open field following the 2024 election cycle. High probabilities for non-officeholders such as George Clooney and Chelsea Clinton stem from name recognition in a market that remains highly speculative two years before primaries begin. Current officeholders trail due to the undetermined presidential nominee and absence of recent endorsements or polling that would narrow the field. Upcoming conventions, primary contests, and any shifts in party leadership could still alter these early implied probabilities substantially before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Chelsea Clinton 24.1%
Jon Stewart 15.5%
James Talarico 13.0%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%
$18,141 Vol.
$18,141 Vol.
Gavin Newsom
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
3%
Kamala Harris
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
4%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
3%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
3%
Mark Kelly
6%
Rahm Emanuel
4%
Gina Raimondo
4%
Zohran Mamdani
16%
Roy Cooper
4%
John Fetterman
3%
Jared Polis
5%
Jon Stewart
16%
Barack Obama
18%
Hillary Clinton
2%
Liz Cheney
12%
Bernie Sanders
14%
Phil Murphy
8%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
George Clooney
25%
Chelsea Clinton
24%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
9%
Andrew Yang
1%
Beto O’Rourke
4%
Kim Kardashian
25%
Chris Murphy
4%
Ruben Gallego
7%
Ro Khanna
2%
James Talarico
9%
Elissa Slotkin
5%
Chelsea Clinton 24.1%
Jon Stewart 15.5%
James Talarico 13.0%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%
$18,141 Vol.
$18,141 Vol.
Gavin Newsom
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
3%
Kamala Harris
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
4%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
3%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
3%
Mark Kelly
6%
Rahm Emanuel
4%
Gina Raimondo
4%
Zohran Mamdani
16%
Roy Cooper
4%
John Fetterman
3%
Jared Polis
5%
Jon Stewart
16%
Barack Obama
18%
Hillary Clinton
2%
Liz Cheney
12%
Bernie Sanders
14%
Phil Murphy
8%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
George Clooney
25%
Chelsea Clinton
24%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
9%
Andrew Yang
1%
Beto O’Rourke
4%
Kim Kardashian
25%
Chris Murphy
4%
Ruben Gallego
7%
Ro Khanna
2%
James Talarico
9%
Elissa Slotkin
5%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The trader consensus for the Democratic vice presidential nominee in 2028 shows former President Barack Obama leading at 36.8 percent amid the party's wide-open field following the 2024 election cycle. High probabilities for non-officeholders such as George Clooney and Chelsea Clinton stem from name recognition in a market that remains highly speculative two years before primaries begin. Current officeholders trail due to the undetermined presidential nominee and absence of recent endorsements or polling that would narrow the field. Upcoming conventions, primary contests, and any shifts in party leadership could still alter these early implied probabilities substantially before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問